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Thursday, May 4, 2017

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 4th May 2017






Nifty 9,311/Sensex 29,894 / Bank Nifty 22,307

25 Advances / 26 Declines/ 0 Unchanged


* Indian equity indices end a lacklustre session with small cut*
Indian equity benchmarks showed a volte-face on Wednesday as what started on a promising note ended as a dismal show. The optimism in local markets petered out completely by the end of trade and the benchmarks drifted into the negative territory despite getting off to a gap-up opening. Sentiments remained subdued on the report that Global agency Fitch Ratings retained the 'BBB-' sovereign rating-the lowest investment grade-on India as weak public finances continue to constrain India's ratings. The rating agency said that India's sovereign ratings balance a strong medium-term growth outlook and favorable external balances with a weak fiscal position and difficult business environment. Further, many investors remained on the sidelines and refrained from any buying activity ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy outcome, due later yesterday. Traders are largely indulging in stock specific activity, tracking quarterly earnings reports, sales and shipments data of automobile and cement companies, and other corporate news. Meanwhile, market participants got some comfort with the report that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is reviewing the progress of the government's agenda to curb black-money and tax evasion as well as the roll out of the Goods and Services Tax (GST). The government intends to implement the GST from July 1, 2017. Further, Asian Development Bank's (ADB's) Chief Economist Yasuyuki Sawada said the reforms like the GST and the new bankruptcy law will make it easier to do business in India.
On the global front, Asian equity markets ended mixed on Wednesday, as strong earnings and manufacturing data boosted risk appetite, while expectations that the Federal Reserve will signal a June rate increase later in the session kept investors on their toes. The US central bank is expected to hold rates steady amid signs of softening inflation, but its commentary will be scrutinized for new clues as to the Fed's views on the economy and interest rates. Chinese shares edged lower, with investors turning cautious on lingering worries about the country's tougher regulations and a shift toward tighter policy. Meanwhile, European markets were trading lower in early trade, as investors turned cautious ahead of the May 7 vote in the country to elect the new president. Trading sentiment was dampened after reports emerged that the U.K. could be facing a Brexit bill from the European Union of up to 100 billion euro.
Back home, the benchmark got off to a positive start in the morning trade as investors were largely influenced by the supportive leads from Asian and US markets. However, the indices dropped into the red terrain sooner than later, lacking any significant upside cues. Thereafter, the indices kept oscillating in a narrow range through the day's trade. Eventually, the NSE's 50-share broadly followed index Nifty, suffered a moderate cut of around two points to settle above the crucial 9,300 support level, while Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index-Sensex- slipped around twenty-six points and closed below the psychological 29,900 mark. On the BSE sectorial space, Healthcare index remained the top laggard in the space and settled with around a percent laceration followed by the Oil & Gas and Consumer Durable pockets, which went home with around half a percent cuts. However, the high beta Realty along with export driven software and technology counters remained the top gainers in the space with gains of around a percent.



FII’s Activity 3rd-May-17


The FIIs as per Wednesday’s data were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5682.40 crore against gross selling of Rs 6015.64 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net sellers of Rs 333.24 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 813.84 crore with gross sales of Rs 253.66 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 560.18 crore in debt.


Now what to expect??








Nifty Levels









Support at 9240 and Resistance at 9380---9450.

Above 9380 will see further upside rally till 9420---9450 mark else will it could test its support level of 9240 again.

Close below 9240 will take to 9180---9130---9080 mark.

Major support intact at 9080



Bank Nifty Levels






Support at 21800 and resistance at 22500

Trend Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 22500.

Weekly close above 22500 will see further upside rally in it else could touch its support level of 21800 again.

Trade in a range with levels only.



Today's Top Pick


TCS






Support at 2270 and Resistance at 2335

Above 2335 will see upside rally till 2370---2390+++ mark.

Looks weak only if close below 2270




Results Today

Exide Industries Limited

Wockhardt Limited

Tata Communications Limited

L&T Finance Holdings Limited

MRF Limited

Housing Development

Finance Corporation Limited

Board Meeting

Indiabulls Housing Finance will announce Dividend of Rs 9.0.


















More will update soon!!

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

बैंकों पर अब नहीं रहेगा NPA का बोझ! कैबिनेट ने लिया यह फैसला




नई दिल्ली। देश के कई बैंकों को डूबे हुए कर्जे से उबारने के लिए केंद्र सरकार ने बुधवार को कैबिनेट की बैठक में महत्वपूर्ण निर्णय लिया।


कैबिनेट ने फैसला लिया है कि कर्ज से निजात दिलाने के लिए रेग्युलेशन एक्ट में बदलाव लाने का फैसला किया गया है। इस संबंध में राष्ट्रपति प्रणब मुखर्जी के पास अध्यादेश भेजा गया है।


बुधवार को पत्रकारों को बैठक के बारे में जानकारी देते हुए कहा कि बैंकिंग सेक्टर पर कुछ फैसले किए गए हैं जिन्हें राष्ट्रपति के पास निर्णय के लिए भेजा गया है। जेटली ने कहा कि जब तक बैंकिंग से जुडे़ निर्णय पर राष्ट्रपति की स्वीकृति नहीं मिलेगी, तब तक इसकी विस्तृत जानकारी पत्रकारों को नहीं दी जा सकती।


समाचार चैनल ईटी नाऊ के अनुसार NPA नीति से जुड़ा अध्यादेश राष्ट्रपति को भेजा जा चुका है। जिसके साथ ही बैंकिंग रेग्युलेशन एक्ट में बदलाव करने की मंजूरी प्रदान कर दी गई है।














Source: oneindia.com






Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 03rd May 17




Gold futures traded marginally lower on MCX as market players looked ahead to the outcome of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting for further clues on the timing of the next rate hike.

Crude oil futures extending their slump on Tuesday, reached to their lowest settlement since late November ahead of data on U.S. crude oil stockpiles. Expectations for a fourth-straight week of drawdowns in crude stockpiles come amid a bearish and bullish production update from both Libya and Russia, respectively. Worries over global supply glut resurfaced after Libya resumed output and country’s production rose above 760,000 bpd to the highest rate since 2014.

Copper futures ended lower on Tuesday as soft data out of China's manufacturing sector weighed on the price of red metal, sparking further selling across the mining sector. Official manufacturing data for April showed the weakest pace of growth in China’s factory sector in seven months while the Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index, a privately-conducted gauge of China’s manufacturing sector, also came in at a worse-than-expected 50.3 in April, down from 51.7 in March.



Technical Level




Gold 


Below 28600 panic remain continue till 28300---28150 and then to 27900 mark.

Hurdle intact at 28750---28900




Silver 


Support at 38900 and Resistance 39500

Looks weak and could touch its support level of 38900. Close below 38900 will take it to 38500---38200 and then to 37800 mark in days  else it could touch its resistance level of 39500 mark again 

Fresh buying can be initiated above 39500 mark.



Crude 




Support at 3050 and Resistance at 3130


Close below 3050 will take it to 3000---2980 and then to 2950 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 3130 mark.

Further upside rally will see if closes above 3130



Copper 


Our sell call in Copper proven great. Crashed from 373---366.60

Now what to expect???

Looks weak and could touch its support level of 365. 

Close below 365 will take it to 361—356 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 375 again. 

Further upside rally will see only close above 375




Economic Data



05:45P.M ADP Non-Farm Employment Change:  Previous 263K, Forecast 178k, Actual??


Impact - Increase in ADP Non-Farm Employment Change – will have negative impact on bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – versa.



07:30 P.M – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI– Previous – 55.2 Forecast 56.1 Actual –?? 

Impact – Increase in ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI – will have negative impact bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index vice – versa.




08:00 P.M Crude Oil Inventories:  Previous -3.6M, Forecast -3.3M, Actual –??

Impact – Increase Crude Oil Inventories – will have negative impact on crude oil prices vice versa




11:30 P.M FOMC Statement

11.30 P.M Federal Funds Rate














More will update soon!!

India may make local steel mandatory in govt infrastructure projects: report





New Delhi: The Indian cabinet may clear a proposal on Wednesday to make usage of local steel mandatory for government’s infrastructure projects, an official with direct knowledge of the matter said, aimed at boosting sales of local companies and global steel makers’ investments.

The ministry’s flagship National Steel Policy, which seeks to outline a roadmap to increase the country’s annual steel production to 300 million tonnes by 2025, is also expected to be passed in the cabinet, the official told Reuters.

The policy is broadly seen as a continuation of India’s protectionist stance against countries such as China and Russia.

A steel ministry spokesman was not immediately available to respond to telephone calls from Reuters seeking comment.

It also comes in the backdrop of a trade probe launched by US President Donald Trump against cheap imports into the United States, in a move that could aggravate trade friction among global producers.

India wants to nearly triple its production capacity by the next decade and acquire technology to produce higher value products including automotive steel.

The government policy will also provide a guiding light for Indian steel companies that are seeking to expand while saddled with huge debts.

In March, Reuters had reported the steel ministry was considering a move making it mandatory to use local steel - pitching it as a WTO-compliant move.

India is also expected to soon announce long-term duties on some steel products imported from China, Japan and Russia, despite complaints from some of the targeted countries.

Between April and March, India’s steel imports fell 37% year-on-year, data from a government body showed, primarily due to measures announced by the government.

The proposed National Steel Policy, which was floated in October by Niti Aayog, an influential government think-tank that replaced the Planning Commission, recommended measures to also reduce dependence on imported coking coal, lack of which recently crippled production after heavy rains in Australia created shortages.















More will update soon!!

May is the month of high Volatility



Metal sector levels



Hindzinc 


Support at 266 and Resistance at 272



Jindal Steel

Support at 109 and Resistance at 115.50




Hindalco


Support at 199 and Resistance at 205



Tata Steel


Support at 440 and Resistance at 455




National Aluminum


Support at 66.50 and Resistance at 70.00



Coal India


Support at 274 and Resistance at 279

Break and close below support level will see sharp downside panic in it. 



Hurdle will be your stop loss.... Trade safely with minimum quantity as you all know that May is the month of volatility












More will update soon!!

Agri Commodity Update (03-May-2017)






Fundamental Aspect



Jeera futures traded lower on NCDEX as speculators engaged in trimming their positions to book profits at prevailing levels amid lower domestic and exports demand at the spot market. Furthermore, huge stocks at the spot markets following higher supplies from the major growing regions in Gujarat and Rajasthan too fuelled the downtrend. Recently, Gujarat Agriculture Department in its 3rd advance estimates for 2016/17 has revised down the production estimates to 2.12 lakh tonnes, down 4% from its 2nd estimates and almost 11% compared to last year production of 2.38 lakh tonnes. The arrivals have been lower during April compared to March. As per the traders source, about 30,901 tonnes of jeera arrived compared to 43,831 in previous month. On the export front, country the exports increase by 32.7% to 1, 01,188 tonnes in first 10 month of marketing year 2016/17 reported by Dept. of commerce, GOI.

Coriander futures declined on NCDEX as participants cut down their bets, amid sluggish demand in the spot market. Besides, rising arrivals from major growing regions also influenced coriander futures.

Turmeric futures edged down on NCDEX as participants reduced exposure amid sufficient stocks at the spot markets following pick-up in arrivals from producing belts. NCDEX .As per the trader source, turmeric arrivals in the country lower in April to 92,964 tonnes compared to 1, 35,887 tonnes during March. On the export front, country exported about 89,704 tonnes during April-Jan period, up by 28.3% compared to last year exports of 69,870 tonnes, as per government data. There are expectations of improved demand in coming weeks as prices are lower.

Mentha oil futures traded lower on MCX as investors and speculators exited their positions in the agro-commodity amid sluggish demand from major consuming industries in the domestic spot market. Further, ample stocks position on higher supplies from major producing belts of Chandausi in Uttar Pradesh, too influenced mentha oil prices.

Sugar Futures fell last week due to higher availability of sugar in the domestic market as government extends curbs on holding of sugar stocks by six months for the sugar dealers and traders. As per USDA, India’s sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2017/18 (Oct-Sept) is expected to increase by 18% to 25.8 mt. Uttar Pradesh will be the largest producer of sugar in India, followed by Maharashtra. As per trade sources, Maharashtra's sugarcane acreage in 2017-18 (Jul-Jun) is likely to rise 29% on year to 900,000 ha.



Technical Aspect


Soybean


Support at 2850 and Resistance at 2935

Looks weak and its likely to touch its support level of 2850.

Break and sustain below 2850 will take it to 2790—2745 mark else could touch its resistance level of 2935 again.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 2935.



Soyref


Support at 605 and Resistance 615

Weekly close below 605 will take to 592---588 and then 576 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 615

Fresh buying can initiate only close above 615 mark. Major hurdle at 628

Trade with levels only



Dhaniya 


We still maintained our selling view below 6900….for 5800—5300 and then to 4500.

Support at 6000. Break and close below 6000 will see further downside move till 5800---5650 and then to 5300 mark

Immediate hurdle at 6400

 Trade in a range with levels only



Jeera 


Support at 18350 and Resistance at 19600

Looks weak and weekly close below 18350 will see a sharp downside towards 17600---17200 and then to 16500 mark in days to come else it could touch its resistance level of 19600 again.

Fresh buying can initiate only close above 19600 mark.

Trend- Sideways Lower 



RM Seed 


Support at 3700 and Resistance is 3800

Momentum looks weak and if prices gives daily close below 3700 will see a sharp downside towards 3645---3600 else could touch its resistance level of 3800 again

Fresh buying can initiate only close above 3800 mark

Trade in a range with levels only



TMC


Clearly indicated that we are highly bearish in Turmeric. 

Crucial Support is 5500 and Resistance is 5800

Weekly close below 5500 will see fresh round of selling towards 5350---5200. 

Three consecutive closes + weekly close below 5200 will take to ???

Revise stop loss of 5800. Any reversal seems will update.



Cocudakl


Support seen at 1900 while resistance can be defined as 1985

Looks rebound and weekly close above 1985 could touch 2040 and then 2110 mark in days to come else it may test its support level of 1900 again

Fresh selling can be seen only below 1900 will take to 1845---1730 and then to 1650+ mark.

Trend- Sideways 



Mentha oil 


Support at 920 and resistance at 955

Weekly close below 920 further weakness can be seen till 898---885 mark else could test its resistance level of 955 again.

Trade with levels only



CPO 


Support at 488 and Resistance at 495---498

Close below 488 will take to 483---476 mark. More and more downside panic will see only weekly close below 476 else it could test it's resistance level of 495---498 again

Trade with levels only.














More will update soon!!

Currency Report 03 May 2017






Rupee surrenders most of the early gains; yet ends higher against dollar


Indian rupee extended its weakness for the second consecutive day on Friday, on increased month-end demand for the American currency from importers. Sentiments remained down-beat with the report that private equity investments in the first quarter of this year fell to nearly 3-year low of $2.1 billion in the absence of big ticket deals. According to the report, there was a decline both in terms of value as well as volume of deals and PE investment values dropped to the lowest level in the last 11 quarters. Moreover, the US dollar’s gains against some other currencies overseas and a weak domestic equity market put pressure on the rupee. On the global front, Sterling climbed to its highest against the dollar since late September on Friday, brushing off data showing a sharp slowdown in UK economic growth as traders closed off heavy bets against the pound ahead of a long Bank Holiday weekend.


USDINR (May)



Support at 64.25 and Resistance at 64.45

Break and sustain above 64.45 will take 64.65---64.80mark else it could touch its support level of 64.25 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 64.25 mark

Trade with levels only


GBP-INR (May)



Support at 82.80 and Resistance at 83.50

Close above 83.50 will take it to 84.00---84.20+++ mark else could touch its support level of 82.80 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 82.80

EURINR (May)



Support at 70.30 and Resistance 70.55---70.80

Close below 70.30 will take to 70.05—69.80 and then to 69.30 mark else could touch its resistance level of 70.55---70.80 mark again

Trade with levels only.


JPYINR


Support at 57.40 and resistance 57.80---58.10

Close below 57.40 will take it to 57.15—57.00. 

Weekly close below 57.00 will see free fall in it else it could touch its resistance level of 57.80---58.10 again.

Further upside rally will see above 58.10 only.















More will update soon!!

कमोडिटी बाजार : सोना चांदी : आज आएगा US फेड का फैसला, ब्याज दर बढ़ी तो सोने पर दबाव






अमेरिकी सेंट्रल बैंक फेडरल रिजर्व की दो दिन की बैठक आज खत्म होने जा रही है और बैठक में ब्याज दरों को बढ़ाने को लेकर फैसला होगा। अगर ब्याज दरों में बढ़ोतरी होती है तो इससे अमेरिकी करेंसी डॉलर में मजबूती आएगी और साथ में सोने की कीमतों पर दबाव दिख सकता है, लेकिन फैसले से पहले विदेशी बाजार में सोना स्थिरता के साथ कारोबार कर रहा है।
फिलहाल कॉमेक्स पर सोने का भाव 1,257 डॉलर प्रति औंस के करीब कारोबार कर रहा है, बीते सत्र के दौरान कॉमेक्स पर सोने ने 1,252 डॉलर प्रति औंस के निचले स्तर को छुआ था जो करीब 3 हफ्ते में सबसे कम भाव है। घरेलू बाजार की बात करें तो मंगलवार को कमोडिटी एक्सचेंज MCX पर सोना 78 रुपये घटकर 28,575 रुपये प्रति 10 ग्राम के स्तर पर बंद हुआ है। 


Source: MarketTimesTv






More will update soon!!