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Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Update on Nifty levels and Bank Nifty levels of the day 22nd February 2017





Nifty 8907/Sensex 28761/ Bank Nifty 20860

31 Advances / 20 Declines/ 0 Unchanged



Indian benchmarks manage to end higher; Sensex slams century
Indian benchmark indices carried forward their northbound journey for yet another session on Tuesday on sustained buying by funds and retail investors ahead of February series F&O expiry on Thursday. 

Sentiments got a boost with report that yearly SBI Composite Index (year-on-year) for February 2017 improving to 49.5 compared to last month’s index of 47.0, indicating some improvement in sentiments. The monthly Index though declined marginally to 49.2 in February 2017 from 50.9 in January 2017, which means IIP growth may continue to contract in January and February 2017. 

Some support also came with the report that the government hopes to overshoot the Rs 45,500 crore disinvestment target for the current fiscal amid strengthening of equity markets. However, gains remained capped with the rating agency ICRA’s  report indicating that the economy based on the gross value added (GVA) is set to slip to 6.2% in the December quarter from 6.9% a year ago and GDP growth will decline to 6.5% from 7.2%. 

The slippages will be driven by the slowdown in growth of the industry and services, offsetting the healthy agricultural expansion during the period. Furthermore, a private report indicated India's growth momentum witnessed a recovery in January but it is not broad-based and overall economic activity remains below pre-demonetization levels. The slowdown that started in the October-December quarter of 2016, post demonetization is spilling over into the first quarter of 2017 (January-March). 

Meanwhile, some steel stocks gained traction as the government has extended anti-dumping duty on import of certain steel products from China for five years with an aim to protect domestic players from the cheap shipments. The levy has been imposed in the range of $961.33 - 1,610.67. 

Furthermore, Telecom stocks slipped as Reliance Jio's free data offer has hit rivals, raising concerns about competition and margins in the sector. Jio has launched the new Jio Prime subscription plan that offers the same free data and other services, customers have received as part of the Happy New Year plan for another 12 months at Rs 303 per month.


On the global front, Asian equity markets ended mixed on Tuesday as investors looked ahead of key US Federal Reserve events, including minutes of the last policy meeting and speeches by five heads of Fed regional banks. Japanese stocks edged higher as the yen eased back against the dollar, although trading volumes were low as a holiday in the United States left investors short of the usual leads, while Chinese stocks rose as domestic funds piled into financial counters on expectations the world's second biggest economy may have turned a corner. Meanwhile, European markets edged up in early trade as poor results from HSBC weighed on sentiment in London, but positive euro zone data supported equities on the Old Continent. IHS Markit’s February PMI gauge of eurozone manufacturing activity came in at 56.0, compared with a 54.3 estimate from FactSet.

Back home, Indian markets got off to a soft start as the indices showed signs of consolidation in early trade, lacking any significant trigger at domestic front. However, the indices drifted into the negative zone in mid morning trades and slipped to intraday lows in early noon session.  Thereafter, the frontline indices slowly but steadily started gathering steam and surged by over quarter percent by the end of trade.


FII Activity (21th Feb 2017)


The FIIs as per Monday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 13274.72 crore against gross selling of Rs 5215.43 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 8059.29 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 487.71 crore with gross sales of Rs 437.32 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 50.39 crore in debt.



Now what to expect next??





Nifty Future Levels







Support at 8780—8720 and Resistance at 8980—9050

Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 8980—9050, further upside rally will see on close above 9050 mark else could touch its support level of 8780—8720 again.


Looks weak only on close below 8720.



Bank Nifty Future Levels






Support at 20400 and resistance at 20900.

Break and sustain above 20900 will take it to 21050---21300+ mark else could touch its support level of 20400 again.

Looks weak below 20400 only.












More will update soon!!

Tuesday, February 21, 2017

कमोडिटी बाजार : एनर्जी : कच्चा तेल 55 डॉलर के करीब पहुंचा, OPEC देशों के उत्पादन में और कटौती मुमकिन









कच्चे तेल के भाव को ऊपर उठाने के लिए OPEC संगठन के देश उत्पादन कटौती के फैसले पर अपना सहयोग दे रहे हैं, मंगलवार को OPEC संगठन के सचिव ने यह बयान दिया, उनके इस बयान के बाद घरेलू और विदेशी बाजार में कच्चे तेल की कीमतों में उठाव आना शुरू हो गया है, नायमेक्स पर कच्चे तेल का भाव बढ़कर 54.85 डॉलर प्रति बैरल तक पहुंच गया है जो करीब 3 हफ्ते में सबसे ज्यादा भाव है। घरेलू बाजार यानि कमोडिटी एक्सचेंज MCX पर भी कच्चा तेल करीब 50 रुपये की तेजी के साथ 3,680 रुपये प्रति बैरल के ऊपर कारोबार करता हुआ देखा गया है।



दरअसल पिछले साल OPEC संगठन के देशों ने मिलकर फैसला किया है कि कच्चे तेल के भाव को ऊपर उठाने के लिए वह अपने रोजाना औसत उत्पादन में पहली जनवरी से करीब 12 लाख बैरल की कटौती करेंगे। OPEC देशों के साथ रूस और कुछ दूसरे गैर OPEC देश भी उत्पादन कटौती पर सहमत हुए और कुल मिलाकर सभी गैर OPEC देशों ने औसत रोजाना उत्पादन में 6 लाख बैरल की कटौती पर सहमती जताई। जनवरी के दौरान OPEC और गैर OPEC देशों ने अपने उत्पादन में कटौती की भी है। लेकिन जनवरी में हुई कटौती से जब बात नहीं बनी है तो समझौते के मुताबिक पूरे 18 लाख बैरल की कटौती पर OPEC और गैर OPEC देश फिर से विचार कर रह हैं जिस वजह से आज भाव में इजाफा दर्ज किया गया है। 




Source: MarketTimesTv







More will update soon!!

Technical Pick - BF Utilities



Technical View On BF Utilities








We have seen mind blowing rally in BF utilities in last few trading sessions. It spurts from 355 to 431.80 almost up by 21%. BF utilities is trading around 410. It made a low of 355.55 on 31 Jan 2017,  and bounced back sharply.  

Above 410 rally remain continue. Three consecutive closes + weekly close above 410 will see sharp upside rally till 480---500 and then to 530+ mark in days to come.



On Daily chart, BF utilities is trading above 21 and 55 days exponential moving average which is at 393 & 406 while MACD and RSI too showing positive diversion which indicate that upper side seems certain. 

Traders don’t go for aggressive or positional selling at all because trend is positive and we will expect rally to remain continue till 530+ mark in coming months. For positional trade, stop loss seeing at 375. It will get positional weak only below 375 mark which is unlikely to breach in near terms.



Trading Recommendation - Buy BF utilities above 408--410 Stop loss 375  for the initial target of 480---500 and then to 530++











More will update soon!!

Jewellery export fall 25 per cent in January on import duty in Dubai




Jewellery export fall 25 per cent in January on import duty in Dubai



















More will update soon!!

.FYI: Here's why TCS is buying back shares







The Tata Consultancy Services board on Monday approved a proposal to buy back 5.61 crore shares at Rs 2,850 apiece. This works out to 2.85 percent of the company’s equity base. The buyback will be done under the tender offer route on the stock exchange. TCS shares rose a little over 4 percent to close at Rs 2,506.50 following the announcement.


Last week, the company’s outgoing chief N Chandrasekaran had told CNBC-TV18 that the company had a large cash balance and the board was considering the possibility of a buyback. But what exactly is a share buyback? Here’s a quick primer to get you up to speed on the basics: WHAT IS A SHARE BUYBACK? It is when a company offers to purchase shares from the shareholders and extinguish those shares. This reduces the equity base of the company. WHY DO COMPANIES OPT FOR A BUYBACK? It can be for a variety of reasons. But usually, companies announce a buyback when they either feel their shares are undervalued or when they have no better investment plan to deploy the cash. A buyback is a way to return cash to shareholders. WHY A BUYBACK TO RETURN CASH, WHY NOT A DIVIDEND? A buyback reduces the equity base of the company. This pushes up earnings per share, as the same profits will now be divided by a smaller equity base. (EPS=Net profit/number of outstanding shares) HOW DOES A HIGHER EPS HELP? It helps boost the share price. 

Because the market values a stock based on its EPS. IS A SHARE BUYBACK ALWAYS A GOOD THING? Not exactly. While many consider a buyback to be a low risk way to deploy extra cash, there are downsides. It’s often used as a ploy to boost earnings and could well mean that company undertaking the exercise has run out of good ideas. WHY IT COMPANIES? IT firms are sitting on a large amount of cash. Sentiment for the sector has soured in recent months as the business environment has become tough. Also, the proposed measures by the Trump administration is expected to hurt the profitability of IT companies further. TCS’ buyback plans come amid rising concerns that IT companies are struggling to invest in good ideas in a growth-challenged environment.












More will update soon!!

Technical Pick - KPIT






Technical View on KPIT







 




Short Term Delivery  Call


KPIT... Formed double bottom pattern on Daily chart

Two consecutive closes above 137 will see sharp upside rally till 145---148+++ mark.

Support and stop loss below 128.00 on closing basis.






Trading Recommendation


Buy KPIT In (Cash/ Future) above 137 stop loss 128.00 Target 145---148++


















More will update soon!!

कमोडिटी बाजार : एग्री कमोडिटी : कॉटन खपत अनुमान में 5 लाख गांठ का इजाफा: CAI










देश में इस साल (2016-17) कपास की खपत के लिए पहले जो अनुमान लगाया जा रहा था अब उससे ज्यादा कपास की खपत होने की संभावना है, कॉटन इंडस्ट्री के संगठन कॉटन एसोसिएशन ऑफ इंडिया यानि CAI की ओर से जारी की गई ताजा रिपोर्ट में कहा गया है कि पहली अक्टूबर से शुरू हुए कपास वर्ष 2016-17 के दौरान देश में कपास की खपत 295 लाख गांठ (170 किलो) रह सकती है, इससे पहले जनवरी में जारी रिपोर्ट में खपत 290 लाख गांठ होने का अनुमान लगाया गया था।


CAI ने उत्तर भारत में अहम कपास उत्पादक राज्य हरियाणा के लिए उत्पादन अनुमान में हल्की बढ़ोतरी की है और इस साल हरियाणा में 20.50 लाख गांठ कपास पैदा होने का अनुमान लगाया है, इससे पहले पिछली रिपोर्ट में 20 लाख गांठ उत्पादन का अनुमान था।


हालांकि हरियाणा में उत्पादन अनुमान में बढ़ोतरी के साथ कर्नाटक में उत्पादन अनुमान में 50 लाख गांठ की कटौती भी की गई है और इस साल कर्नाटक में 18.50 लाख गांठ कपास पैदा होने का अनुमान है। लेकिन CAI ने देश में कपास उत्पादन अनुमान में किसी तरह का बदलाव नहीं किया है और 2016-17 के दौरान देश में 341 लाख गांठ कपास पैदा होने का अनुमान रखा है।

CAI के मुताबिक मंडियों में कपास की आवक धीरे-धीरे रफ्तार पकड़ रही है और रोजाना करीब 2 लाख गांठ कपास की आवक हो रही है, पहले किसान अच्छे भाव का इंतजार कर रहे थे जिस वजह से आवक में देरी हो रही थी। 







Source: MarketTimesTv













More will update soon!!

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 21st February 2017






Nifty 8879/Sensex 28661/ Bank Nifty 20667

35 Advances / 16 Declines/ 0 Unchanged



Indian benchmarks kickoff the week on a sanguine note

Indian stock markets finished the first day of F&O expiry week on an optimistic note, with Sensex gaining over half a percept, while Nifty closed above 8850 mark. Investors continued to build hefty positions across the board as sentiments got a boost after the report that GST Council on Saturday approved a law to compensate states for any loss of revenue from the implementation of the new national sales tax but deferred approval for enabling laws to the next meeting. 

The council will meet again on March 4 and 5 to approve the legally vetted draft of the supporting legislations for Central GST (C-GST) and Integrated GST (I- GST), days before the start of the second leg of the Budget Session. Some support also came with the report that overseas investment in India is likely to surge to a record in the year ending March despite temporary growth hiccups ascribed to the currency swap programme. India’s FDI in the April-December period rose 22% to $35.8 billion from the year earlier. With three months to go for the fiscal year end, the government expects fresh inflows into equity to top the $40 billion India got in FY16. 

Meanwhile, stocks related to Sugar sector remained in focus after the report that India's sugar deficit increased to 15% as on February 15, from 10% on January 31, as sugarcane crushing season in Karnataka has almost come to an end, while that of Maharashtra is at its fag end. Furthermore, some banking stocks came into lime light on the report that once the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Bill is passed, the sale of bad loans to asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) could improve substantially to 30-35% of the loans put on the block by banks and financial institutions from the current 10-15%.

On the global front, Asian markets ended mostly in green on Monday, though traders remained cautious ahead of key US Federal Reserve events, including minutes of the last policy meeting and speeches by five heads of Fed regional banks. Chinese shares ended higher after reports that pension funds are entering the stock market. Investor sentiment boosted after China's securities regulator unveiled new rules on Friday restricting excessive and frequent fundraising by some listed companies. Further Japanese shares eked out small gains in a choppy session marked by low volumes as investors stayed on the sidelines with the US markets closed for a holiday. Meanwhile, European stocks edged higher, as higher commodity prices and optimism about U.S. President Donald Trump's promised tax and regulation cuts helped outweigh French election worries.


Back home, the local benchmarks got off to a soft start as the indices showed signs of consolidation in early trade amid political uncertainty infecting markets across the Asia. But the frontline indices slowly but steadily started gathering steam and surged by quarter percent by late morning trades. The bourses further capitalized on the momentum and spurted in afternoon trades on the back of broad based bottom fishing in undervalued stocks.



FII Activity (20th Feb 2017)


The FIIs as per Monday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.


In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 13274.72 crore against gross selling of Rs 5215.43 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 8059.29 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 487.71 crore with gross sales of Rs 437.32 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 50.39 crore in debt.




Key Results


Castrol India Ltd

ITD Cementation India Ltd



Now what to expect next??




Nifty Future Levels 







Above 8850 rally remain continue till 8980---9050 mark, further upside rally will see on close above 9050. 

Looks weak only on close below 8720 only.



Bank Nifty Future Levels






Support at 20200---19900 and resistance at 20650---20900.

Traders can trade in a range with strict stop loss and wait for confirmation.




Today's Top Pick


Hindzinc






Support at 300 and Resistance at 307
Break and sustain above 307 will take it to 315---320 and then to 330+ mark else could touch its support level of 300. 

Looks weak only if close below 300











More will update soon!!

Monday, February 20, 2017

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 20 Feb. 17





Gold futures edged lower on MCX as investors and speculators exited their positions in the precious metal as safe-haven demand faded on rise in the US dollar against a basket of other currencies. Investors are looking ahead to a clutch of speeches from US Fed officials this week for clues on the timing of possible interest rate hikes.

Crude oil futures traded marginally higher on MCX, as investors and speculators widening their positions in the energy commodity amid optimism on efforts by OPEC and other producers to cut output and bring the market into balance. However, some gains were limited as investors gauged whether an increase in the US drilling rigs and record stockpiles would undermine efforts by OPEC.

Copper futures traded higher on Monday as near-term supply disruptions intensified after Indonesia's Grasberg, the world's second-biggest mine said it could not fulfill its promised shipments due to export permit issues.



Technical Level



Gold






Support at 29050---28900 and Resistance at 29500

Trade in a range with levels only and wait for confirmation.



Silver





Support at 42400 and Resistance at 43150

Trend looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 43150. Break and sustain above 43150 will take it to 43600---43900+ and then to 44500+ mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 42200


Crude Oil





Support at 3580 and Resistance at 3680

Looks positive and could test it's resistance level of 3680. Break clos3 above 3680 will see more upside rally in it else it could touch its support level of 3580 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 3580 mark.


Natural Gas






Support at 183—178 and resistance at 189

Trend looks weak and could touch its support level of 183—178, further downside panic will see below 178.00 else could touch its resistance level of 189.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 189.00


Copper











Support at 396 and resistance at 406.

Looks weak and could touch its support level of 396.  Close below 396 will take to  391---386 mark else could touch its resistance level of 406.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 406

 Trade in a range with levels only











More will update soon!!