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Thursday, June 23, 2016

Daily Currency Outlook 23 June 2016






Dollar/Rupee


Dollar/rupee ended little changed as oil importers' demand to meet their month-end commitments was offset by dollar selling by foreign banks on behalf of exporters.

Technical, USDINR retraced from the day high 67.6875 and tested 67.4925 before closing at 67.52 levels. A downside consolidation below 67.78 is yet indicating for bearishness in USDINR. 

 On the other hand, immediate resistance is seen at 67.90 and pair would need to trade above 67.90 in order to test 68.00-68.35 levels.



EUR/INR June Future



Euro traded up Wednesday as dollar pared gains ahead of a referendum set for Thursday to decide fate of United Kingdom's membership of European Union.

EURINR retraced from the day high 76.3950 tested 76.14 before closing at 76.30.Today, pair expect to remain volatile ahead of EU referendum.

On the other hand, strong resistance is seen at 77.10 on closing basis and pair would need to trade above these levels in order to test 77.55-78.00.



GBP/INR June Future


Pound little changed Wednesday as investors stayed on sidelines ahead of Britain's vote to leave the European Union even as latest poll showed that majority of Britons preferred to remain in the EU. United Kingdom holds a referendum on Jun 23 to decide on continual of European Union's membership

GBPINR retraced 0.35% from the previous day close and settled at 99.15 levels. Intraday price action resulted in formation of bearish harami candle stick which is indicating for bearish reversal in GBPINR. On the other hand, strong resistance is seen at 99.60 sustain trade above only will expect to test 100.50-101.00



JPY/INR June Future



Yen fell back, after seeing a reversal yesterday, as yen strengthened amid unnerved markets on lingering concerns about the UK's fate in the European Union.



JPYINR continued its recent downside move and settled at 64.5225 levels. A long bearish candle stick formation with strong resistance 64.95 is yet indicating for bearishness in JPYINR. Hence, in near term any rise towards 64.75-64.80 is expected to attract huge selling pressure unless it gives a closing. 

On the upside, strong resistance is seen at 64.95 which coincide with previous swing high and further upside move will expect to come above these levels only.



 
  Major Economic Data & Events Schedule today


Time
Currency
Economic Indicators
Forecast
Previous
Possible Impact
7:30am
JPY
Flash Manufacturing PMI
48.2
47.7
Positive
12:30pm
EUR
French Flash Manufacturing PMI
48.8
48.4
Positive
EUR
French Flash Services PMI
51.5
51.6
Negative
1:00pm
EUR
German Flash Manufacturing PMI
52.1
52.1
Neutral
EUR
German Flash Services PMI
55
55.2
Negative
1:30pm
EUR
Flash Manufacturing PMI
51.4
51.5
Negative
EUR
Flash Services PMI
53.2
53.3
Negative
All Day
GBP
EU Membership Vote
-
-
-
Tentative
EUR
Long Term Refinancing Option
-
7.3B
-
6:00pm
USD
Unemployment Claims
271K
277K
Positive
6:30pm
EUR
Belgian NBB Business Climate
-2.9
-2.8
Negative
7:15pm
USD
Flash Manufacturing PMI
50.5
50.7
Negative
7:30pm
USD
New Home Sales
561K
619K
Negative
USD
CB Leading Index m/m
0.20%
0.60%
Negative















 More will update soon!!