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Monday, March 20, 2017

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 20th March 2017









Nifty 9,160/Sensex 29,648/ Bank Nifty 21,175

15 Advances / 36 Declines/ 0 Unchanged




Benchmarks trade in fine fettle in early deals

Friday's trading session was clearly of consolidation as the Indian benchmark indices appeared a bit fatigued and remained in tight range throughout the day. Nevertheless, the benchmarks managed to extend the winning momentum for the second consecutive day of trade as local sentiments got a boost after the goods and services tax (GST) council on Thursday gave its nod to the two remaining pieces of supporting legislation for implementing the landmark tax reform, paving the way for their introduction in Parliament and state legislatures. The council's approval for the state GST and Union territory GST bills marks an important step in India's journey towards creating a unified market and is critical to meeting the deadline of July 1 for GST implementation. Adding optimism among investors, HDFC Chairman Deepak Parekh said the GST regime can push up the country's growth by as much as 150-200 basis points (bps). India's GDP for the third quarter ended in December 2016 recorded a growth of 7%. The estimate of GDP growth for the full fiscal 2016-17 is 7.1%. Meanwhile, IT stocks, which get bulk of their revenues from exports to the US, edged higher after Indian rupee, snapping its four-session long gains, fell 24 paise to 65.65 against the dollar on Friday. Also, IT Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad on Friday said the government had voiced its concern regarding the H1-B visa issue to the US and added that Indians do not steal but create jobs. Further, cigarette stocks such as ITC surged after the GST Council capped the cess on tobacco and cigarettes at 290% or Rs 4,170 per 1,000 cigarette sticks. 


On the global front, Asian markets ended mostly higher on Friday, posting their best week in eight months, after the Federal Reserve indicated it was unlikely to speed up monetary tightening. While the Fed raised rates by quarter a point as widely expected on Wednesday, the central bank's projections called for only two more rate hikes this year. Now traders were eyeing the G20 finance ministers' meeting in Germany, which is set to be dominated by debate on protectionism. Further, Seoul shares edged higher as foreign investors extended their buying streak for the 10th straight session, while  Indonesia's Jakarta Composite index ended in green, a day after the country's central bank left its key interest rate unchanged, as widely expected. Meanwhile, European equity benchmarks were trading in the green in early trade as financial services stocks advanced in Paris and traders digested a raft of monetary policy decisions made by central banks earlier in the week.


Back home, after getting a firm start, the local indices traded in tight range, near neutral line, for most part of the session and ended the day with moderate gains. The NSE's 50-share broadly followed index Nifty, added single digit gains to settle above the crucial 9,150 support level, while Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index or Sensex gained around sixty-three points and ended above the psychological 29,600 mark. However, the broader markets failed to show any kind of favour and settled on an uninspiring note, underperforming their larger peers by a small margin.  The market breadth on the BSE was pessimistic, as there were 1243 shares on the gaining side against 1575 shares on the losing side, while 203 shares remained unchanged.

POSCO offers to surrender land for planned India steel project

South Korean steelmaker POSCO has asked the eastern state of Odisha in India to take back the land it was allotted for a $12 billion steel project as it has not been able to start work, two senior state officials said
This could be a sign the world's fourth-biggest steelmaker was scrapping the proposed 12 million-tonnes-a-year steel plant, although POSCO said on Sunday that its move to return the land did not mean it would cancel the long-delayed project.


POSCO said it had expressed its intention to give back the land because it "will not be used urgently".
"Posco has asked us to take back the land as it could not utilize it as per the lease deed condition," IDCO's chief general manager for land management, Susanta Kumar Mohanty, told Reuters on Saturday.
A mining law enacted by the federal government in 2015 made it mandatory for the company to buy a mining license for captive mines in an auction. Originally, the Odisha government had promised to help the company obtain the licence for free.


Steel Mills in India Reversing Import Woes with Export Push
India is set to become a net exporter of steel for the first time in four years, reversing a trend that saw domestic mills battling a flood of cheap imports, according to the Indian Steel Association. Shares of producers surged in Mumbai.
“This is a very positive development and it would indicate that the Indian steel industry is globally competitive in terms of quality and prices,” Sanak Mishra, the association’s secretary general, said by phone from New Delhi. The nation’s production is forecast to top 100 million metric tons in the fiscal year starting April 1 as the big producer’s commission more capacity and look to boost exports, he said.


Exports surged almost 78 percent in the 11 months to February to 6.6 million tons, while imports have plunged 39 percent to the same figure, according to Steel Ministry data. Output jumped 11 percent to 92 million tons amid consumption growth of 3.4 percent to 76.2 million tons, it said.SAIL shares rose 5.4 percent to 63.30 rupees at 2:33 p.m. in Mumbai, while JSW Steel climbed 5.2 percent to 193 rupees and Tata Steel advanced 4.1 percent to 498.50 rupees.


It’s a sharp contrast to a year ago, when India was inundated with cheap supplies from China, the biggest producer and exporter, with the country importing a record 11.7 million tons in 2015-16. The government initiated a number of trade measures such as a floor price on shipments, safeguard taxes and anti-dumping duties to stem the inflow.


The nation is expected to have balanced imports and exports this year, said Mishra. India remains a key steel consuming country and the local market, which is forecast to grow at 5 percent next year, will still be the main destination for its producers, he said. He didn’t provide specific forecasts for 2017-18.

Yogi Adityanath Takes Charge As Chief Minister Of Uttar Pradesh


Yogi Adityanath, a five-time parliamentarian was sworn in as the new Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh. The swearing-in happened in Lucknow a week after the BJP won a landslide mandate in the assembly elections with 312 seats. In a surprise announcement, Mr Adityanath's name was announced. His two deputies in Keshav Prasad Maurya, the party's UP chief, and Dinesh Sharma, Lucknow's Mayor also took oath. Mr Sharma is credited with leading the party's membership drive in the state. 


After his name was announced for the top post, Mr Adityanath thanked Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who himself was an important part of the party's campaign in the state. "I will take UP forward with his motto of sabka saath sabka vikas," Mr Adityanath declared soon after he was announced the Chief Minister. He has been winning the Gorakhpur seat since 1998 and is the head priest of Gorakhnath Math. The politician-priest with his shaven head and trademark saffron robe has been the party's Hindutva mascot and consistently commissions headlines, usually because of his controversial statements.
We will serve the state with the motto Sabka saath sabka vikas: Yogi Adithyanath
Government will work for all section of society without any partiality, for this administration will be made accountable and answerable
The BJP government had vowed development though 'Sabka Saath Sabka Vikas', which will be taken forward 
UP has been left out in the race of development
The previous government had indulged in corruption and family disputes and also derailed law and order in the state
We will fulfil all the promises we have made to the people of the state
The fruits of the absolute majority that has been given to the BJP will soon be seen
The government will work with utmost honesty to generate employment for youth
The BJP had presented the Lok Kalyan Sankalp Patra as its vision document ahead of the elections. All the promises will be fulfilled


FII’s Activity 17-March-17


The FIIs as per Friday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5611.90 crore against gross selling of Rs 4187.66 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 1424.24 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 5220.00 crore with gross sales of Rs 1451.57 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 3768.43 crore in debt.



Now what to expect next??







Nifty Levels






Support at 9050 and Resistance at 9218---9248.
Looks positive and could touch its Resistance level of 9218---9248. Further upside rally will see only close above 9248 mark else could touch its support level of 9050 again.
Fresh selling can be initiated below 9050 mark.



Bank Nifty Levels






Support at 21000 and resistance at 21500

Looks positive and could touch its Resistance level of 21500 will see upside in it, else could touch its Support level of 21000.

Today's Top Pick


IBULHSFIN


Support at 958 and Resistance at 971
Trend look positive and could touch resistance level of 971.

Above 971 it can touch 983—1005 else it can touches support level of 958 again

Trade with levels only

















More will update soon!!

Friday, March 17, 2017

Update on Bullion, Energy and Base metal Levels for the day 17 March 2017




Gold futures ended higher on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve signaled a cautious stance on interest rate policy this year, pushing the dollar to its lowest in a month. The Fed on Wednesday raised interest rates for the second time in three months, with officials sticking to their outlook for two more rate hikes this year and three more in 2018. However, the defeat of right-wing nationalists in European elections and a significant rally in global stocks dented gold's safe haven appeal.



Crude oil futures just after a day of rally slipped back into red on Thursday, amid lingering doubts about OPEC's supply quota plan. High levels of U.S. crude inventories sparked doubts about the effectiveness of OPEC’s plan to drain the flood of oil that continues to suppress prices. OPEC's latest monthly report had revealed that Saudi Arabian crude oil production rose to 10.011 million barrels a day, up from 9.748 million in January, while the report also forecast a rise in production from non-OPEC members in 2017.



Copper futures ended higher on Thursday, supported by declining US dollar as traders shrugged off the Federal Reserve’s decision to hike rates and instead focused on the fact that the Fed is unlikely to accelerate its pace of future rate hikes. Further, continuing supply problems as stoppages at three of the world's biggest mines, too supported copper prices’ uptrend. Reports showing that roughly 200,000 tons of copper production has already been lost due to Industrial action at Chile's Escondida mine and Peru's Cerro Verde, along with a dispute over mining rights at Indonesia's Grasberg.








Technical Level




Gold 


Support at 28380 and resistance at 28560

Weekly close below 28380 will take it to 28220---28050 and then to 27880 else could touch its resistance level of 28560 again.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 28560 mark.

Trade with levels only.






Silver 




Support at 40500 and resistance at 41250


Break and sustain below 40500 will take it to 40200—40000 and then to 39800 mark else could touch its resistance level of 41250.


Further upside rally only above 41250






Crude Oil




Support at 3165 and Resistance 3220

Break and close above 3220 will take to 3250---3280 and then to 3320 mark


Else it could test it's support again. Further downside panic will see only close below 3165 mark


Trade with levels only






Copper 




Hurdle at 391

Break and sustain above 391 will take it to 394---396 and then to 400++ mark else could touch its support level of 385.50

Looks weak below 385.50








Major Economic Data



06:45 P.M – Capacity Utilization Rate m/m – Previous 75.3% Forecast 75.5% Actual –?? 


Impact - Increase in Capacity Utilization Rate – will have negative impact bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index vice – versa.



06:45 P.M – Industrial Production m/m – Previous -0.3% Forecast 0.3% Actual –?? 

Impact – Increase in Industrial Production m/m– will have negative impact bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index vice – versa.



07.30 P.M – Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment– Previous 96.3% Forecast 97.1% Actual –?? 

Impact – Increase in Industrial Production m/m– will have negative impact bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index vice – versa.
















More will update soon!!


कमोडिटी बाजार : एग्री कमोडिटी : कैस्टरसीड का भाव 4,500 रुपये के ऊपर, उत्पादन कम और मांग ज्यादा








कैस्टरसीड के कम उत्पादन और मांग बढ़ने की वजह से इसके भाव में उठाव बना हुआ है, शुक्रवार को वायदा बाजार में कैस्टरसीड के भाव में 125 रुपये से ज्यादा की तेजी देखने को मिली है, कमोडिटी एक्सचेंज NCDEX पर अप्रैल वायदा के लिए भाव 4,500 रुपये के पार पहुंच गया है, भाव ने 4,517 रुपये प्रति क्विंटल का ऊपरी स्तर छुआ है जो करीब 26 महीने में सबसे ज्यादा भाव है।

इस साल देश में कैस्टरसीड के उत्पादन में करीब 25 फीसदी की गिरावट आने का अनुमान लगाया गया है जिस वजह से भाव को सपोर्ट मिल रहा है। नीलसन इंडिया की रिपोर्ट के मुताबिक 2016-17 के दौरान देश में 10.67 लाख टन कैस्टरसीड पैदा होने का अनुमान है, 2015-16 के दौरान देश में 14.23 लाख टन कैस्टरसीड का उत्पादन दर्ज किया गया है। रिपोर्ट के मुताबिक 2016-17 के दौरान देश में भले ही उत्पादकता अच्छी हो लेकिन कैस्टरसीड का रकबा कम होने की वजह से इसके उत्पादन में भारी गिरावट का अनुमान है।

इस साल गुजरात में उत्पादन 27 फीसदी घटकर 8.61 लाख टन, राजस्थान में 16 फीसदी घटकर 1.23 लाख टन, आंध्र-तेलंगाना में 19 फीसदी घटकर 64,000 टन और अन्य राज्यों में 21 फीसदी घटकर 19,000 टन उत्पादन का अनुमान है।
उत्पादन घटने के अलावा हाल के दिनों में कैस्टरसीड की मांग मे इजाफा देखने को मिला है, मार्केट टाइम्स को कारोबारी सूत्रों से मिली जानकारी के मुताबिक चीन से कैस्टर ऑयल के लिए कुछ इंपोर्ट सौदे हुए हैं। मांग में हुई बढ़ोतरी से भी भाव में उठाव आया है। 





Source:MarketTimesTv













More will update soon!!

Technical Pick KTKBANK




Technical Pick KTKBANK








KTKBANK has support at 134 and resistance at 144. KTKBANK is forming double top pattern on Daily charts and having breakout point below 144. Two consecutive closes + weekly close below 134 will see sharp downside panic till 131-128 and then to 125 mark in days to come else it could test its resistance level of 144 again. If breach and close below 134 then every sharp rise will be selling opportunity in it




Trading Recommendation





Sell KTKBANK Future below 139 with Stop Loss of 143 for the initial target of 134-131 and then to 128 mark.











More will update soon!!

कमोडिटी बाजार : एग्री कमोडिटी : गेहूं की सरकारी खरीद शुरू, पहले दिन 6,500 टन से ज्यादा गेहूं खरीदा गया








देश के 3 प्रमुख गेहूं उत्पादक राज्यों में गेहूं कटाई का सीजन जल्दी शुरू होने की वजह से सरकारी एजेंसियों ने गेहूं खरीद शुरू कर दी है। मार्केट टाइम्स को सूत्रों से मिली जानकारी के मुताबिक 15 मार्च को सरकारी एजेंसियों ने मध्य प्रदेश, राजस्थान और गुजरात में खरीद शुरू कर दी है और पहले दिन न्यूनतम समर्थन मूल्य पर कुल मिलाकर 6,570 टन गेहूं की खरीद की गई है।


सरकारी एजेंसियों ने सबसे अधिक मध्य प्रदेश से 6,435 टन गेहूं खरीदा है जबकि गुजरात से 135 टन की खरीद हुई है, राजस्थान में आवक अभी बहुत कम है ऐसे में पहले दिन खरीद शुरू नहीं हो सकी है। केंद्र सरकार ने इस साल गेहूं के लिए 1,625 रुपये प्रति क्विंटल का न्यूनतम समर्थन मूल्य रखा हुआ है और इसी भाव पर सरकारी एजेंसियां किसानों से गेहूं की खरीद कर रही हैं।


देश के अन्य राज्यों यानि पंजाब, हरियाणा और उत्तर प्रदेश में पहली अप्रैल से गेहूं की खरीद शुरू होगी। रबी मार्केटिंग सीजन 2017-18 में सरकार ने देशभर से कुल 330 लाख टन गेहूं खरीद का लक्ष्य निर्धारित किया हुआ है जबकि पिछले सीजन में सिर्फ 230 लाख टन की खरीद हो पायी थी। इस साल देश में गेहूं उत्पादन 966 लाख टन होने का अनुमान लगाया गया है जो अबतक का सबसे अधिक उत्पादन होगा। 




Source:MarketTimesTv










More will update soon!!