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Friday, February 17, 2017

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 17 Feb. 17






Gold futures ended higher on Thursday as the dollar weakened against a basket of major currencies after a 10-day winning streak and investors took the opportunity to buy bullion as a hedge against political uncertainty in the United States and Europe. Yellow metal prices further improved on mixed economic data and geopolitical tensions. New residential construction in the US pulled back in the month of January, according to a report released by the Commerce Department, although the report also showed a jump in building permits. Housing starts fell by 2.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.246 million in January. The Labour Department reported a slight increase in first-time claims for US unemployment benefits in the week ended February 11th. Initial jobless claims edged up to 239,000. Moreover, weakness n equities and a decline in Treasury yields combined to lift investment demand for the metal.


Crude oil futures recovered from the intraday lows to post modest gains on Thursday, following reports OPEC could extend its output-cut agreement to non-members amid concerns of a surge in U.S. crude and shale production. Although OPEC has achieved 92% compliance with a plan to shrink output, the cartel may have to increase the pace of cuts and extend the agreement beyond June. Meanwhile, Energy Information Administration (EIA) has said that it remains to seen whether crude can hold onto recent gains, as US oil inventories have risen sharply in the past few weeks, with crude and US gasoline inventories hitting all-time records last week.



Copper futures ended lower on Thursday, even though industrial metals got supported by a strike at BHP Billiton's Escondida mine in Chile and a lack of permits for exports from Freeport McMoRan's Grasberg mine in Indonesia. Also metal got support from the expectation of stronger demand in top consumer China, where banks extended 2.03 trillion yuan in net new yuan loans in January, the second-highest monthly tally on record.




Technical Level


Gold 





Support at 29240 and Resistance at 29500

Close below 29240 will take to 29050---28900 else it could test it's resistance level of 29500 again.

Further upside rally will see only close above 29500.

Trade in a range with levels only



Silver





Support at 42400 and Resistance at 43150

Break and sustain above 43150 will take it to 43600---43900+ and then to 44500+ mark else could touch its support level of 42400 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 42400


Crude Oil





Support at 3520 and Resistance at 3600


Traders can trade in a range with strict stop loss and wait for confirmation. 

Anything seems will update.



Copper





Support at 396 and resistance at 402---406.

Close below 396 will see more downside panic till 393---389---386 mark else it could test it's resistance again.

 Trade in a range with levels only















More will update soon!!

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Technical View on Zinc 17 Feb 2017




Technical View on Zinc










We have seen mind blowing rally in Zinc in last last year. It spurts from 96.65 to 204.20 almost up by 111%. Zinc future is trading around 190. It made a high of 204.20 on Nov 28, 2016 and crashed sharply. Zinc formed Rising wedge pattern on daily chart and having breakout point at 189.50. Below 189.50 Panic remain continue. 


Zinc... Support at 189.50 and resistance at 191.50.

Break and sustain + close below 189.50 with volume  will see sharp downside panic in it. 182---178 and then to 168 mark in days to come.



On Daily chart, Zinc is trading above 21 and 55 days exponential moving average which is at 189 & 184 while MACD and RSI too showing negative diversion which indicate that upper side seems limited. Traders don’t go for aggressive or positional buying at all because trend is neagtive and we will expect panic to remain continue till 183+ mark in coming week. For positional trade, stop loss seeing at 191.50. It will get positional strong only above 191.50 mark which is unlikely to breach in near terms.












More will update soon!!


Heart Stent prices cut by 85 per cent Treatment of heart attack get cheaper, Stent price fixed at Rs 7290




Heart Stent prices cut by 85% .  Treatment of heart attack get cheaper, Stent price fixed at Rs 7290
















Source: Market Times TV




More will update soon!!

Technical Pick - Aditya Birla Nuvo (17- Feb-2017)





Technical Pick - Aditya Birla Nuvo











ABIRLANUVO looks positive on charts ... Break and sustain above 1500 will take it to 1540--1580--1600 and then to 1660+ mark  else could touch its support level 1450. Looks weak only below 1450 mark.


On Daily chart,ABIRLANUVO is trading above 21 and 55 days exponential moving average which is at 1414 & 1347 while MACD and RSI too showing positive diversion which indicate that upper side seems certain. Traders don’t go for aggressive or positional selling at all because trend is positive and we will expect rally to remain continue till 1600+ mark in coming weeks. For positional trade, stop loss seeing at 1450. It will get positional weak only below  mark which is unlikely to breach in near terms.




Trading Recommednation


Buy ABIRLANUVO in Cash / Future around 1500--1505 Stop loss below 1450 for the initial target of 1540---1580---1600 and then to 1660+ mark.












More will update soon!!


पाम ऑयल: मलेशिया में एक्सपोर्ट टैक्स में बढ़ोतरी, देश में आयात होगा महंगा








भारत को बड़ी मात्रा में पाम ऑयल का निर्यात करने वाले देश मलेशिया से मार्च के दौरान पाम ऑयल आयात महंगा पड़ेगा, मलेशिया पाम ऑयल बोर्ड ने मार्च के लिए पाम ऑयल पर एक्सपोर्ट टैक्स में इजाफा कर दिया है। पाम ऑयल बोर्ड की ओर से जारी किए गए आंकड़ों के मुताबिक मार्च के दौरान मलेशिया में पाम ऑयल एक्सपोर्ट पर 8 फीसदी टैक्स लगेगा, फरवरी के लिए यह टैक्स 7.5 फीसदी है।

दरअसल मलेशिया में पाम ऑयल का औसत भाव 3,337 रिंगिट प्रटि टन दर्ज किया गया है, पाम ऑयल बोर्ड ने पहले निर्धारित किया हुआ है कि भाव अगर 3,301 रिंगिट से 3,450 रिंगिट प्रति टन के बीच रहता है तो एक्सपोर्ट पर 8 फीसदी टैक्स वसूला जाएगा, भाव अगर 3,450 रिंगिट के ऊपर जाता है तो एक्सपोर्ट टैक्स बढ़कर 8.5 फीसदी हो जाएगा और भाव 3,151 रिंगिट से 3,300 रिंगिट के बीच रहता है तो एक्सपोर्ट टैक्स 7.5 फीसदी होगा।


दुनियाभर में इंडोनेशिया पाम ऑयल का सबसे बड़ा उत्पादक देश है जबकि मलेशिया दूसरा बड़ा उत्पादक है, भारत में खाद्य तेल की जरूरत को पूरा करने के लिए इन दोनो देशों से बड़ी मात्रा में पाम ऑयल का आयात होता है, 2016 के दौरान मलेशिया से भारत में करीब 30 लाख टन पाम ऑयल का आयात हुआ है। देश में खाद्य तेल जरूरत को पूरा करने के लिए कुल जरूरत का करीब 60-65 फीसदी खाद्य तेल आयात करना पड़ता है और कुल आयात होने वाले खाद्य तेल में 60-65 फीसदी हिस्सा पाम ऑयल का ही होता है। 




Source: MarketTimesTv













More will update soon!!

Havells likely to buy Lloyd Electric's consumer business for Rs 1500 crore, to get toehold in room AC segment









MUMBAI: Havells IndiaBSE -1.61 % is in advance negotiations with Lloyd ElectricBSE 4.21 % and Engineering Limited to acquire its consumer durables business for around Rs 1200 -1500 crore, to get a toehold in the fast growing Indian air conditioners market that is dominated by global brands, said multiple sources involved.

In a market crammed with about two dozen brands, Lloyd is third largest player in the room AC segment after Voltas and LG.

Ever since HavellsBSE -1.61 % sold its 80% stake in its international arm Havells Sylvania Malta BV—one of the top four lighting brands in Europe and Latin America — for Rs1,070 crore to Shanghai Feilo Acoustics of China in December 2015, it has been scouting for targets for emerging markets and India for brands that have strong business adjancencies. It also has an option to sell the balance stake in three years from the time of sale, or even earlier.

The consumer business for Lloyd Electric is its mainstay accounting for the 58% of its total revenues and 44% of the operational profits of the company in the December 2016. Its other business divisions – heat exchangers, original equipment manufacturing and packaged AC business – have seen flat or declining sales.

Over the last few years, the company has expanded its branded product portfolio such as air purifiers, inverter Air Conditioners, portable Air Conditioners, Dry Coolers, tate-of-the-art Air Conditioners, Ultra HD technology LED TV’s, Washing Machines, Chest Freezers, Refrigerators, Room Heaters, and other small appliances.

New Delhi based Lloyd had mandated EY last July to find a potential suitor for its business. The company had then said it was exploring strategic and financial alternatives to enhance shareholders' value.

“Both sides are engaged in advanced negotiations and Havells is only keen to buy the branded business and not the low margin original equipment manufacturer (OEM) piece. The final negotiations are now predominantly focussed on the valuations,” said an official involved directly. “Some of the global players including Electrolux as well as home grown competitors like Voltas had evaluated the prospect but let go.”

The Lloyd promoters led by Brij Raj Punj had been seeking a significant premium for his business and that has been a deal breaker. Another spoiler has been the stock that has appreciated 37% in the last 6 months expecting a sale. It closed at Rs 324.40/share on Thursday.

“It will be an interesting play but I don’t think it will get sold at 4 times sales that was their initial expectations,” said a CEO of a competing brand.

Lloyds also is an OEM of ACs for other brands, besides supplying air-conditioning products to Indian Railways.

However, Nipun Singhal, Director and CEO of consumer durables at Lloyd Electric told ET that they are not aware of any development about any potential sale to Havells India.

Mails to Havells spokesperson did not generate a response till the time of going to press. Repeated calls to Anil Rai Gupta, chairman, Havells also went unanswered.

But in earlier interaction in January, Gupta, had said he will acquire only brands or businesses in emerging markets that help in securing new technologies or expand his existing business portfolio. He declined to comment on Lloyd then.

COMPLIMENTARY MOVES

Analysts say, the rationale of Havells buying the consumer business to bring long term scalability to its consumer business, which account for nearly 21% of the total standalone revenues of the company. Havells – predominantly –a home electricals company has been looking to expand its appliance business such as water heater, mixer and fans. The acquisition of Lloyd will give it access to 10,000 plus direct and indirect dealer networks spread across India 485 authorized service centre and 31 company owned service centre, highly complementary for its existing consumer durable business.


Havells is sitting on cash and cash equivalent of Rs 1344 crore at end of FY16 mainly due to selling its overseas assets. It had seriously evaluated buying the consumer business of Crompton Greaves as well as the appliances brand Kenstar from Videocon.

Operationally, the company in the last year also restructured its go-to-market operations in India from a wholesale business model to retail to secure greater visibility and control over its inventory and sales. This has led to a slight bump to its topline growth during the year, which was up 4% to Rs 5,436.88 crore. Simultaneously, it has branched into newer areas like home automation, end to end solar lighting solutions, air purifiers, and water heaters and personal grooming.  Solar rooftops is also a new growth area for the company for which it has increased its stake in Promptec Renewable Energy Solutions, a Bangalore based solar lighting company from 51% to 70%.

CONDITIONING FOR GROWTH
Lloyds consumer business that sells its products under the eponymous brand name, has been one of the fasting growing segment for the company in the past few years, rising from a meagre 20% in FY12 to 59% in FY16. Lloyd’s revenue too grew at annualized growth of 27.3% to Rs 2382 crore in the same period on account of growth of this portfolio. Its total debt stood at Rs 816 crore at end FY16, largely related to the working capital requirement of the business. 

Within the consumer business, it is the higher sales growth in the ACs -- where its market share in the room AC segment has increased to 14% at end of December 2016 compared with less than 8% just 2 year ago – that’s driving growth. Nearly more than 80% of the total sales of consumer business originates from the AC and balance from the rest of products.

In December 2016, consumer business grew 43.4% to Rs 306 crore due to scheme of zero down payment launched by the company during period of demonetization, while the total revenue rose 19.8% to Rs 531 crore.                        
















More will update soon!!


कमोडिटी बाजार : एनर्जी : कच्चा तेल: भाव रिकवर नहीं हुआ तो OPEC उत्पादन कटौती को आगे बढ़ा सकता है




 



कच्चे तेल की कीमतों को ऊपर उठाने के जिस उदेश्य से OPEC संगठन ने कुछ गैर OPEC देशों के साथ मिलकर उत्पादन कटौती का फैसला किया था उससे कीमतों में कुछ रिकवरी तो आई है लेकिन भाव अब भी 55 डॉलर प्रति बैरल के ऊपर बने रहने में कामयाब नहीं हुआ है, ऐसे में संभावना जताई जा रही है कि उत्पादन कटौती के फैसले को OPEC और गैर OPEC देश आगे भी बढ़ा सकती है, फिलहाल यह फैसला 2017 की पहली छमाही तक लागू है।


इसी संभावना की वजह से आज कच्चे तेल की कीमतों में उठाव देखा जा रहा है, नायमेक्स पर कच्चा तेल हल्की बढ़ोतरी के साथ 53.50 डॉलर प्रति बैरल के करीब कारोबार कर रहा है, विदेशी बाजार में आई इस तेजी का असर घरेलू बाजार पर भी दिख सकता है, गुरुवार को घरेलू बाजार यानि MCX पर मार्च वायदा के लिए कच्चा तेल 28 रुपये की तेजी के साथ 3,624 रुपये प्रति बैरल के स्तर पर बंद हुआ है। 



Source: MarketTimesTv








     More will update soon!!

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 17th February 2017





Nifty 8778/Sensex 28301/ Bank Nifty 20243

37 Advances / 14 Declines/ 1 Unchanged



Benchmarks settle near intraday high levels; Sensex surpasses 28,300 mark

Indian equity benchmarks traded with traction and settled near intraday high levels with a gain of over half a percent on Thursday, with key gauges surpassing their crucial 28,300 (Sensex) and 8,750 (Nifty) levels. Traders took encouragement with report that India’s exports continued to grow for the fifth straight month, expanding by 4.32 percent to $ 22.11 billion in January against $ 21.19 billion in the same month of 2016. Imports also rose, by 10.70 percent to $ 31.95 billion, during the month under review. Some support also came after Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who in her second day of economic testimony before Congress, offered no additional insight on the timing of the central bank's next rate hike.

Moreover, investors closely watched GST Council meet scheduled on February 18 and assembly elections in five states that will end on March 8. The performance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party in ongoing state elections will determine if the trickle of foreign money returning to Indian stocks turns into a gush.


On the global front, European markets were trading in red, as investors offload positions in risky assets amid expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates more aggressively than expected following upbeat U.S. economic data. Asian markets ended mixed, as traders opted to take profit off the table at higher levels.


Back home, there was broad based buying witnessed in the markets and apart from the blue chips, the broader markets too participated strongly in the rally. On the sectoral front, IT stocks remained on buyers’ radar after the industry body NASSCOM said that restrictions on H-1B visas in the US and the impact of Brexit are threatening to disrupt the growth trajectory of India’s information technology sector. Buying in realty stocks too aided sentiments on reports that private equity investments in the real estate sector increased by 26 percent during 2016 and touched a nine-year high of nearly Rs 40,000 crore.

Stocks related to oil & gas sector remained in focus, as the Cabinet Committee of Economic Affairs approved the award of 31 contract areas under the Discovered Small Field (DSF) Bid Round 2016. The government expects to monetise 40 million tonnes of oil and 22 billion cubic metres (BCM) of gas reserves over 15 years through the awarding of contracts. 

In scrip specific development, State Bank of India (SBI) and three of its listed associates rallied with Cabinet approval for a proposal to merge the five subsidiaries with the parent, which will create a mammoth bank with 23,000 branches. SBI, State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur (SBBJ), State Bank of Travancore (SBT) and State Bank of Mysore (SBM) ended in green, while the rest two associate banks - State Bank of Patiala and State Bank of Hyderabad - are unlisted.

Back home, the local benchmarks got off to a soft start as the indices showed signs of consolidation in early trade. Thereafter, the key indices failed to show any kind of fervor due to lack of encouraging leads. The selling pressure accentuated in the noon trades as investors took to across the board risk aversion. However, the bourses recovered from the lows of the day but could not succeed in minimizing the huge losses by the end of trading session.



FII Activity (16th Feb 2017)


The FIIs as per Thursday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.

In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5551.14 crore against gross selling of Rs 5297.52 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 253.62 crore in equities.

In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1060.08 crore with gross sales of Rs 814.33 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 245.75 crore in debt.


Now what to expect next??





Nifty Future Levels 





Nifty unable to breach its support level of 8720 and bounced back sharply.

Now what to expect??

Support at 8720 and resistance at 8850.
Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 8850, Weekly close above 8850 we’ll sharp upside rally in it, else could touch its support level of 8720 again.
Looks weak only below 8720



Bank Nifty Future Levels







Bank Nifty has support at 19900 and resistance at 20400---20650.
Trend looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 20400--20650, further upside rally will see on close above 20650 else could touch its support level of 19900

Looks weak only below 19900


Yesterday... We had given BTST in Bajaj Finance, VEDL, Havells, Hexaware and L&TFH

Let see what will happen today... SGX Nifty is in green at 7.30 AM. So we are hoping for the best.

More levels and updates will provide during market hours















More will update soon!!

Thursday, February 16, 2017

बिजनेस न्यूज़ : रेल टिकट, बिजली बिल जैसी सेवाओं के लिए ATM कार्ड इस्तेमाल हुआ सस्ता, MDR चार्ज उठाएगी सरकार




कैशलेश अर्थव्यवस्था की ओर एक और कदम बढ़ते हुए सरकार ने फैसला किया है कि सरकारी भुगतान के लिए अगर कोई व्यक्ति डेबिट कार्ड से पेमेंट करता है तो उसको MDR चार्ज नहीं देने पड़ेंगे, यानि रेलवे टिकट बुकिंग, बिजली और पानी के बिल का भुगतान, गैस सिलेंडर की बुकिंग, सरकारी पेट्रोल पंप से तेल भरवाने और दूसरी सरकारी सेवाओं के पैसे अगर डेबिट यानि ATM कार्ड का इस्तेमाल करते हैं तो आपको इसपर MDR चार्ज नहीं देना पड़ेगा।


अभी तक इस तरह की सभी सेवाओँ पर MDR चार्ज देना पड़ता है, MDR चार्ज यानि मर्चेंट डिस्काउंट रेट वह शुल्क होता है जिसे बैंक वसूलते हैं, इस शुल्क को उन लोगों से वसूला जाता है जो अपने सामन या सेवा की बिक्री के लिए डिजिटल पेमेंट जैसे PoS मशीन की सुविधा का इस्तेमाल करते हैं। आमतौर पर डिजिटल पेमेंट की स्थिति में दुकानदार MDR चार्ज ग्राहक पर डाल देते हैं। 



Source: MarketTimesTv








More will update soon!!