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Thursday, April 27, 2017

Agri Commodity Update (27-Apr-2017)






Fundamental Aspect


The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) forecast of normal monsoon this year has brought cheer to farming community, especially in oilseeds sector, which is largely dependent on edible oil imports. Based on the Met department’s projections, the oil industry body expects another year of robust oilseeds production in the coming kharif season.

Castor seed traded slightly higher amidst higher demand in the spot market. A fall in prices encouraged bargain-buying, which resulted in pullback in prices.

Soybean futures traded almost mixed from last couple of day due to weaker spot market demand for the oilseed. CBOT soybean fell for a second straight session, pressured by spill-over weakness from corn and prospects for increased Brazilian farmer selling. 

Jeera prices traded lower but rising exports demand near term may capped losses at the spot market. Gujarat Agriculture Department in its 3rd advance estimates for 2016/17 has revised down the production estimates to 2.12 lt. NCDEX accredited warehouses jeera stocks gained by 33 tonnes to 936 tonnes.

Turmeric futures traded lower on NCDEX despite lower arrivals from the producing regions. Reports showed that the turmeric arrivals in the country is declining in first 20 days in April to 66,025 tons (April 1-20) compared to 1, 15,768 tons during the same period in March.



Technical Aspect


Soybean






Support at 2950 and Resistance at 3000

If unable to breach its support level of 2950 the we can expect upside move till 3000.

Three consecutive close + weekly close above 3000 will take it to 3070---3130 and then to 3200+ mark in days to come.

Looks weak only if closes below 2950.


Soyref






Support at 608 and Resistance 620

Break and sustain below 608 we can expect downside move till 592---584 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 620

Fresh buying can initiate only close above 620 mark

Trade with levels only


Dhaniya 






Support at 6700 and Resistance is 6920

Break and close above 6920 will see sharp upside move till 7130---7260 mark in days to come else it could touch its support level of 6700 again.

Fresh panic can be seen only below 6700 mark

 Trade in a range with levels only


Jeera 








Support at 18700 and Resistance at 19600

Two consecutive day close +weekly above 19600 will see a sharp upside towards 19980---20250 else it could touch its support level of 18700.

Fresh selling can initiate only close below 18700 mark.

Trend- Sideways Higher



RM Seed 







Support at 3750 and Resistance is 3810

Momentum looks sideways and if prices gives daily close below 3750 will extend it to 3705---3660 else could touch its resistance level of 3810 again

Fresh buying can initiate only close above 3810 mark

Trade in a range with levels only



TMC






Support at 6050 and Resistance is 6300

Weekly close below 6050; fresh round of selling can be seen towards 5840 ---5720 mark else could touch its resistance level of 6300 again.

Fresh Buying only can be seen above 6300

So be careful while trading in Turmeric. Anything seems will update.



Cocudakl









Support seen at 1950 while resistance can be defined as 2025

Weekly close below 1950 will take to 1890---1865 mark in days to come else it may test its resistance level of 2025 again

Fresh buying can be seen only above 2025 mark



Mentha oil 







Support at 920 and resistance at 945

Weekly close below 920 further weakness can be seen till 890---875 mark else could test its resistance level of 945 again.

Weekly close above 945 will take U-Turn

Trade with levels only



CPO (May)






Support at 485 and Resistance at 500.

Looks positive and could test its resistance level of 500. More and more power will see only close above 500 towards 508--- 514 mark else it could test its support again.

Fresh selling can initiate only close below 485 mark. 

Trade with levels only

Trend – Sideways Higher














More will update soon!!