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Monday, September 7, 2015

Update on Bullion, Base Metal and Energy







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Gold




Gold October contract has support at 24600---24450 and resistance at 25000---25200 mark. 


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Close below 24850 will see panic till 24600---24450 mark. Three consecutive closes + weekly close below 24450 will see free fall in Gold else it could test its resistance level of 25000---25200 again. Further upside rally seen only weekly close above 25250 mark. On Comex division, Gold has support at $1073 and resistance at $1110. Two consecutive closes below $1073 will take to $1045---$1030 mark in days to come else it could test its resistance level of $1110 again. Close above $1110 will take to $1125---$1140. Further upside rally seen only weekly close above $1140 mark but chances are unlikely to move upside in near terms and will expect panic to remain continue.  On MCX division, USDINR too play key role in volatility. USDINR has support at 63.90--63.50 and resistance at 64.70. Close below 63.90 will take to 63.50. Weekly close below 63.50 will see free fall in USDINR else it could test its resistance level of 64.70 and then to 65.20---65.50 mark in days to come. Cross over of MACD and RSI is below ‘0’ line and ‘30’ respectively indicate consolidation phase in near terms. Till then traders can trade with levels only and wait for confirmation. Nimble traders can sell Gold on rise around 25000---25050 with stop loss above 25200 on closing basis for the initial target of 24850---24600---24450.





Silver








  Silver has support at 33700---33300 and resistance at 34500 mark. Close below 34000 will take to 33700---33300. 


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Two consecutive closes below 33300 will see further panic till 32800---32300 and then to 31800 mark in days to come else it could test its resistance level of 34500 again. Further upside rally seen only close above 34500 mark. Three consecutive closes + weekly close above 34500 will take to 35300---35800 mark. On Comex division, Silver has support at $14.40 and resistance at $15.30. Close below $14.30 will take to $13.60---$13.20 and then to $12.50 else it could test its resistance level of $15.30 mark in days to come. Further upside rally seen only close above $15.30 mark. Here, we will expect that choppy session remain continue in Silver as there is no clear direction along with it USDINR also play key role in volatility. MACD and RSI is below ‘0’ line and ‘30’ respectively. Again we will expect range bound trading in Silver till healthy breakout. So traders can trade with levels only and wait for confirmation



Crude oil





Crude oil has support at 2780 and resistance at 2940---3000. 



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Still looks weak and could test its support level of 2780 mark. Two consecutive closes below 2780 will see further panic in Crude oil till 2680---2630 and then to 2550 mark in days to come else it could test its resistance level of 2880---2940 and then to 3000 mark again. Further upside rally will see only weekly close above 3000 level. On Nymex division, Crude oil has support at $43.50 and resistance at $47. Close below $43.50 will see further panic till $41.00---$38. Further panic seen only close below $38.00 level. MACD and RSI still in negative zone but be cautious at lower levels as we will expect dead cat bounce at lower levels. Traders holding short in Crude oil can book part profit and trade with levels only



Natural Gas




Natural gas has support at 172 and resistance at 185---189. 



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Natural gas is forming triangle pattern on daily charts. It looks positive and could test its resistance level of 185---189. Further upside rally seen only weekly close above 189 level. Three consecutive closes + weekly close above 189 will see nonstop rally in Natural gas else it could test its support level of 172 again. Two consecutive close below 172 will take to 167---163 and then to 155 mark in days to come. At this stage trend looks choppy and has no clear direction. Natural gas is now in consolidation phase from last few weeks and we will expect this range bound trading to remain continue in this week too. So traders can trade in a range with strict stop loss and wait for confirmation. 



Copper




Copper has support at 327 and resistance at 333---337. 



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Copper still looks weak and could test its support level of 327. Negative return remain continue in Copper on global concern. Close below 327 will take to 321---318 and then to 310 mark in days to come. Further panic seen only weekly close below 310 else it could test its resistance level of 333---337 mark again. Three consecutive closes + weekly close above 337 will see sharp upside rally in Copper. Nimble traders can sell Copper around 333 or below 327 with stop loss of 337 on closing basis for the initial target of 327. Other can trade in a range with strict stop loss and wait for confirmation



Nickel




Nickel has support at 685---660 and resistance at 710.



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 Close below 685 will take to 670---660. Further panic seen only weekly close below 660 mark. Three consecutive closes + weekly close below 660 will see free fall in Nickel till 640---625 else it could test its resistance level of 710 and then to 725---740 again. Two consecutive closes + weekly close above 740 will take to 790---820+ mark. In this week, we again expect high volatility in Nickel and last week’s high and low is very crucial and unlikely to breach in near terms until and unless any major negative news comes from China or Europe. Traders can trade in a range with strict stop loss and wait for confirmation.