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Wednesday, August 2, 2017

Currency Report 2nd Aug 2017


Rupee ends higher against greenback on rate cut hopes by RBI



Snapping two-day losing streak, Indian rupee recovered against the American currency on Tuesday on the back of dollar sales by exporters and bank. Traders took some support with Moody's report that the Indian economy will likely grow in the range of 6.5-7.5% over the next 12-18 months and the growth momentum will get support from the goods and services tax (GST) regime. Investors remained optimistic ahead of outcome interest rate decision from two-day Monetary Policy Committee meeting that started today. The street is expecting a rate cut of at least 25 basis points by RBI tomorrow. Moreover, gains in the domestic equities and continuous foreign capital inflows too supported the domestic unit. On the global front, dollar edged up against a trade-weighted currency basket on Tuesday, but held close to a 14-month low as investors added to bets that political turmoil in Washington will hit prospects of another Federal Reserve rate hike in coming months.



USDINR







Support at 64.25 and Resistance at 64.60

Break and sustain below 64.25 will take it to 64.10—63.90 and then to 63.70 mark else could touch its resistance level of 64.60 again.


Fresh buying can be initiated above 64.60




GBPINR





Support at 84.90 , Below 84.90 it can touch 84.60—84.40 mark else could touch its resistance level of 85.20


Fresh buying can be initiated above 85.20



EURINR





Support at 75.95 Resistance at 76.20

 Below 75.95 it can touch 75.60—75.30 mark else could touch its resistance level of 76.20 mark.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 76.20 


JPYINR





Support at 58.10 and Resistance at 58.50

Break and sustain below 58.10 will take it to 57.90—57.70 and then to 57.50 mark else could touch its resistance level of 58.50

Fresh buying can be initiated only above 58.50













More will update soon!!

Morning News Headlines

    

Economic Times



Ø  Govt to sell 4% in Hindustan Copper tomorrow

Ø  Snapdeal's first investor Glass backs founders

Ø  Tech Mahindra re-appoints Gurnani as MD & CEO

Ø  Rupee hits 2.5-mth high on RBI rate cut hopes

Ø  Cochin Shipyard IPO subscribed 92% on Day 1



Business Standard


Ø  RBI MPC meet begins; experts expect 0.25% rate cut

Ø  JSW Steel quarterly profit falls 44%, but beats estimates

Ø  Bankers see red as insurance IPOs get bunched up

Ø  Marico falls 6% from record high on disappointing Q1 results

Ø  Ashok Leyland records 14% growth in total sales in July 2017



Business Line


Ø  Sensex ends at record high of 32,575; auto stocks vroom

Ø  Oil, financials get European shares off to firm start in August

Ø  SoftBank Vision Fund may invest up to $2 b in Flipkart

Ø  Manufacturing PMI drops to its lowest in more than eight years at 47.9 in July



Mint 


Ø  SIS IPO subscribed 1.34 times on Day 2

Ø  Godrej Consumer Q1 results knocked down by GST and Indonesia

Ø  Siemens Q3 Result: Tepid order flow but strong profit growth

Ø  Apple revenue rises 7.2% as iPhone shipments beat expectations



Financial Express



Ø  Sebi bans MGH Project from capital markets

Ø  Companies and financial institutions mop up close to Rs 56,000 crore by way of fund raising through equities

Ø  Reliance Jio tactics will have telcos' revenues falling 10% this fiscal

Ø  IndiGo's record Q1 profit fails to amuse Rakesh Jhunjhunwala; ace investor grills management



 Financial Chronicle


Ø  Nifty scrip HDFC Bank returned 23,934% since birth of index

Ø  Flipkart completes eBay India merger

Ø  Timken India set to acquire ABC Bearings

Ø  Sharif Brother to Carry Tarnished Pakistan Political Dynasty









More will update soon!!

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Derivative Outlook along with Equity Pick of the day 2nd Aug 2017

                        



Nifty 10,114 /Sensex 32,575/ Bank Nifty 25122

35 Advances / 16 Declines/ 0 Unchanged



Late buying take benchmarks to fresh closing highs; Nifty surpasses 10,100 mark

Buying in last leg of trade comes as the saving grace for the markets and helped them to settle at fresh record closing highs, with Nifty surpassing its crucial 10,100 mark, as traders remained optimistic ahead of outcome interest rate decision from two-day Monetary Policy Committee meeting that started today. The street is expecting a rate cut of at least 25 basis points by RBI tomorrow. Markets traded with huge volatility throughout the day, with frontline gauges swinging between green and red for most part of the day, but bulls which woke up in dying hour of trade mainly supported the markets to hit another record high. Traders also took encouragement with report that the collection of Integrated Goods and Services Tax from imports crossed Rs 20,000 crore in July - the first month of the roll out of the new indirect tax regime. Adding to the optimism, global rating agency Moody’s has reported that India's GDP growth will remain in the range of 6.5-7.5 percent over the next 12-18 months and GST will support the momentum for faster growth.
However, gains remained capped as some cautiousness crept in the markets after the growth of eight core sectors slowed to 0.4% in June due to contraction in output of coal, refinery products, fertilizer and cement. The growth rate of eight infrastructure sectors was 7% in June last year. Some anxiety also spread among the investors, as PMI survey data indicated that the introduction of the goods & services tax (GST) weighed heavily on the Indian manufacturing industry in July. The Nikkei/IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 47.9 in July from June's 50.9, its first reading below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction since December and its lowest reading since February 2009. Some concerns also came with the report that investments in the domestic capital market through participatory notes (P-notes) slumped to Rs 1.65 lakh crore in June amid stringent norms put in place by Sebi to curb the inflow of illicit funds.
On the global front, European markets have made a positive start, moving higher after two straight months of declines thanks to a positive flow of earnings released on Monday. Asian markets ended mostly in green, as investors prepared to assess a fresh round of corporate earnings reports and data releases on the global economy, starting with an upbeat Chinese factory numbers.
Back home, stocks of oil marketing companies remained on buyers’ radar, as the government asked oil marketing companies to raise the prices of subsidised cooking gas by Rs 4 per cylinder every month. Stocks related to Auto space too caught speed on strong sales performances in the month of July by companies like Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, Ashok Leyland and Maruti Suzuki.


FII’s Activity 1-Aug-17


The FIIs as per Tuesday’s data were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5467.30 crore against gross selling of Rs 6685.14 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net sellers of Rs 1217.84 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1081.20 crore with gross sales of Rs 615.12 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 466.08 crore in debt.


Now what to expect??





Nifty Levels





Support at 9950 and Resistance at 10200

Close above 10200 will see rally till 10450---10600+++ mark else it could test its support level of 9950 again.

Trade with levels only



Bank Nifty Levels




Support at 24700 and resistance at 25225

Close above 25225 will take to 25500---25800 and then to 26200+++ mark.

Support and stop loss below 24700 on closing basis

Trade with levels only


Daily Derivative Outlook 02nd August


• Nifty August 2017 futures closed at 10138.45 on Tuesday at a premium of 23.80 points over spot closing of 10114.65.

• Maximum call writing was seen at 10350 strike, and maximum put writing was seen at 10100 strike.

• Maximum positions are at 10500 CE and 10000 PE. Nifty expected trading range spread to 10500—10000.

• MARICO (77.7%), CHENNPETRO(50.5%), TECHM (28.3%), VOLTAS (22.7%) and EICHERMOT (19%) were the top gainers in open interest in the Market.

• PETRONET (-6.8%), EXIDEIND (-6.5%), PAGEIND (-8%), MRPL (-3.9%) and ICICIPRULI (-3.3%) were the top losers of open interest in the market.

• The Nifty Put Call Ratio (PCR) finally stood at 1.12.

• Advance Decline ratio in f&O segment was at 1.48, Advance (131) + Decline (87)+ Unchanged (1) = 219 



Derivative Idea (02-08-2017)


Wipro losses around 0.33% of open interest as short Unwinding on Monday’s trade.

On Daily charts, Wipro has given fresh breakout above 294 level. 

Above 294 rally remain continue till 300—305 and then to 312++ mark in day to come. Support and stop loss below 287.50

Current chart pattern and derivatives data suggest that we expect further rally in coming sessions.


Trading Recommendation


Buy Wipro (AUG) Future around 294. Stop loss 287. Target 300--305 and then 312++


Top Pick 2nd August


Shriram Transport Finance 




Above 1036 will see upside rally till 1065--1071+++ mark in days to come.

Looks bearish only if close below 1007.

Trade with strict stop loss


Corporate Action


Page Industries Limited-Annual General Meeting- Rs 25/- Per Share

Indiabulls Housing Finance Limited- Interim Dividend - Rs 9/- Per Share

Godrej Industries Limited- Dividend - Rs 1.75 Per Share

Nestle India Limited- Interim Dividend Rs 15/- Per Share

Ambuja Cements Limited- Interim Dividend - Rs 1.60 Per Share


Results Today


Capital First Limited

Wockhardt Limited

Voltas Limited

Reliance Infrastructure Limited

Punjab National Bank

Lupin Limited

Bata India Limited








More Will Update Soon!!

Tuesday, August 1, 2017

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Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 01st Aug 17




Gold futures declined on MCX as market participants lowered their bets, tracking a weak trend overseas. Meanwhile, market players looked ahead to a key batch of US economic data to gauge the strength of the world's largest economy and how it will impact the Federal Reserve's view on monetary policy. The US is to release reports on personal income and consumer spending for June, which include the personal consumption expenditures inflation data, the Fed's preferred metric for inflation.


Crude oil futures traded higher on MCX, supported by signs that a persistent supply glut is starting to ease amid strong demand and OPEC-led production curbs. US inventory reports due on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to show crude stocks fell by 2.9 million barrels last week, the fifth straight week of declines.

Copper futures ended to fresh two-year highs on Monday on account of upbeat manufacturing data in the world’s top consumer China. Reports showing that China's manufacturing purchasing managers index, a gauge of factory activity, fell to 51.4 in July, falling short of expectations for 51.6 but still signalling expansion.


Technical Level


Gold 


Support at 28700 and Resistance at 28900

Break and sustain below 28700 will take it to 28620—28550 and then to 28400 mark else could touch its resistance level of 28900

Fresh buying can be initiated above 28900 mark


Silver


Support at 38550 and Resistance at 39000

Break and sustain below 38550 will take it to 38250—38050 and then to 37800 mark else could touch its resistance level of 39000.

Fresh buying can be initiated above $18.00 INR 39000



Crude


Support at 3200 and Resistance at 3235.

Break and sustain below 3200 will take it to 3170—3130 mark else could touch its resistance level of 3235

Fresh buying can be initiated above 3235



Natural Gas 


Below 186... Our target was 182---179 mark. Hope you all minted money

Now what to expect???

Support 179 and Resistance 186

Break and sustain below 179 will take it to 173—167 mark else could touch its resistance level of 186 again.

Fresh buying can do on close above 186.00 mark


Copper 


Support at 406---400 and resistance at 415

Buy in panic with stop loss of 400 on closing basis for the upside target of 415. Weekly close above 415 will see more upside rally in it

Fresh selling can do only close below 400.


Economic Data


07:30 P.M ISM Manufacturing PMI:  Previous 57.8 Forecast 56.4 Actual –??

Impact – Increase in ISM Manufacturing PMI – will have negative impact on bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – versa.









     More will update soon!!

एफएसएसएआई ने दिया काली मिर्च आयात की जांच का निर्देश


भारतीय खाद्य संरक्षा एवं मानक प्राधिकरण (एफएसएसएआई) ने विभिन्न प्रमुख एजेंसियों और अपने कार्यालयों को काली मिर्च आयात की जांच के निर्देश दिए हैं। प्राधिकरण को आशंका है कि वियतनाम से श्रीलंका के रास्ते भारत आने वाली काली मिर्च दूषित हो सकती है। एफएसएसएआई के संयुक्त निदेशक (आयात) राज कुमार ने विभिन्न प्रमुख एजेंसियों और अपने अधिकारियों को दिए एक निर्देश में कहा है कि वाणिज्य विभाग से ऐसा आधिकारिक सूचना मिली है कि श्रीलंका के जरिये भारत आने वाली वियतनामी काली मिर्च में कीटनाशकों की उच्च मात्रा हो सकती है।

उन्होंने विभाग के अधिकारियों से इस प्रकार के आयात के संबंध में सतर्क रहने के लिए कहा है। यह घटनाक्रम ऐसे समय सामने आया है कि जब काली मिर्च उत्पादक सस्ते आयात और गुणवत्ता को लेकर चिंता जता रहे हैं। उद्योग ने सरकार से न्यूनतम आयात शुल्क निर्धारित करने की मांग की है। यूनाइटेड प्लांटर्स एसोसिएशन ऑफ सदर्न इंडिया (यूपीएएसआई) की कार्यसमिति के सदस्य और काली मिर्च के प्रमुख उत्पादक निशांत आर गुर्जर ने कहा कि एक ओर जहां उत्पादन स्थिर है, वहीं दूसरी ओर देश में मांग बढ़ रही है।

भारत में काली मिर्च की घरेलू मांग में सालाना करीब चार प्रतिशत का इजाफा हो रहा है। मौजूदा मांग 60,000 टन प्रति वर्ष होने का अनुमान है। इस मौके का लाभ उठाते हुए वियतनाम से श्रीलंका के जरिये सस्ती काली मिर्च आ रही है जिसके साथ भारत ने मुक्त व्यापार समझौता (एफटीए) कर रखा है। इस तरह, व्यापारियों द्वारा खरीदी गई सस्ती वियतनामी काली मिर्च बाजार में भारतीय मिर्च बताकर बेची जा रही है।

गुर्जर ने कहा कि हमने सरकार के सामने अपनी बात रखी है। भारतीय काली मिर्च अपनी गुणवत्ता के लिए जानी जाती है। वियतनामी मिर्च के साथ भारतीय मिर्च का ऐसा मिश्रण हमारे यहां नहीं है। इससे भारतीय मिर्च की अपनी पहचान गुम हो जाएगी। जानकारी के अनुसार सामान्य रूप से काली मिर्च पर 70 प्रतिशत का आयात शुल्क लगता है। आसियान समझौते के तहत वियतनाम से आयातित काली मिर्च पर 54 प्रतिशत का शुल्क लगता है, जबकि साफ्टा के अंतर्गत श्रीलंका से आने वाली काली मिर्च पर सिर्फ आठ प्रतिशत का ही शुल्क लगता है। यही वजह है कि व्यापारियों का एक वर्ग वियतनाम की काली मिर्च श्रीलंका के रास्ते भारत ला रहा है।

भारत के काली मिर्च उत्पादकों ने वियतनाम से आने वाली काली मिर्च पर प्रति टन 6,000 डॉलर का न्यूनतम आयात शुल्क लगाने की केंद्र सरकार से गुहार लगाई है। उद्योग के विशेषज्ञों का कहना है कि वियतनाम ने 1.8 से 2 लाख टन फसल का रिकॉर्ड बनाया है। वह विश्व के कुल उत्पादन का एक-तिहाई उत्पादन करता है। भारत के करीब 9,000 डॉलर प्रति टन के मुकाबले उसके दाम 5,000-5,200 डॉलर प्रति टन के आस-पास हैं।






Source: MarketTimesTv







More will update soon!!

Commodity Alert: NYMEX oil up on Venezuela sanctions fear

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ 

Crude oil contracts on NYMEX extended gains for the seventh straight trading day following concern about potential sanctions on the Venezuelan oil industry by the US. The September delivery crude contract was up 0.2% at $50.25 a bbl. Concerns escalated after the US Treasury Department slapped sanctions on Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro on Monday, indicating Trump
Administration’s opposition to his regime. The move comes a day after Maduro declared a sweeping victory in an election, called a sham by many.    Sanctions, if imposed, could hit global oil supply and the US' crude imports from Venezuela. A meeting between some OPEC and non-OPEC members next week in Abu Dhabi to discuss how to increase compliance with the output cut deal also supported prices. 



Source : Newswire








More will update soon!!