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Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 28th June 2017




Nifty 9,511 /Sensex 30,958/ Bank Nifty 23,216

16 Advances / 34 Declines/ 1 Unchanged


Indian equities decline for second straight session; Sensex slips below 31000 mark
Indian equity bourses commenced the fresh week on a depressing note, as the benchmark indices extended previous week's sell-off and sank by over half a percent, as investors maintained conservative approach and remained cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s speech later Tuesday for clues on the outlook for US monetary policy. The broader markets too failed to show any kind of fervor and plunged by close to a percent, underperforming their larger peers by quite a margin. Sentiments were undermined after CRISIL enlightened that the steps taken by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to resolve NPAs are likely to raise provisioning by a whopping 25% this year as lenders will take up to 60% hair cut while resolving these accounts. Further, the central bank told banks to set aside at least 50% of loan amount for cases referred to insolvency process. The move could take its toll on banks’ earnings.
Adding the cautiousness among market participants, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said that the Centre made a last-ditch effort to get Jammu & Kashmir on board to launch goods and services tax (GST) from July 1 suggesting that the state government had elbow room to convey its concurrence to join the new regime. He cautioned that a failure to launch GST will impact consumers and businesses in the state. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Donald Trump have agreed to strengthen the Indo-US economic partnership in a way that results in a win-win for the two major economies, while amicably working on resolving differences. Going forward in near term, Market is expected to stay choppy ahead of F&O expiry due this week and GST rollout lined up for June 30 midnight.
On the global front, Asian equity markets ended mostly in green on Tuesday, as investors awaited an appearance by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen for clues on the outlook for interest rates and the American economy. Chinese shares ended higher after official data showed profit growth in China's industrial sector picked up speed in May, but investors turned cautious amid a strong rally in blue-chips after MSCI decided last week to add 222 China-listed stocks to its Emerging Markets Index. Furthermore, Japan's Nikkei share average edged up to hover near two-year highs as a weaker yen helped exporters rise, while financial stocks rebounded from Monday's declines. Meanwhile, European markets dropped in early trade, feeling the weight of a rising euro, as profit warnings and merger concerns pulled regional equities toward their lowest level in nearly two weeks.
Back home, the market breadth remained pessimistic, as there were 711 shares on the gaining side against 1881 shares on the losing side, while 180 shares remained unchanged.


FII’s Activity 27-June-17


The FIIs as per Tuesday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5058.09 crore against gross selling of Rs 4569.92 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 488.17 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1451.86 crore with gross sales of Rs 1215.25 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 236.61 crore in debt.



Now what to expect next??







Nifty Levels





Support at 9500 and resistance at 9650

Close below 9500 will see panic till 9420---9380 mark else it could test its resistance level of 9650 again.

Rally will see only close above 9650 level only


Bank Nifty Levels




Support at 23215 and resistance at 23420

Below 23215 will see further upside rally till 22965---22840 mark.

Rally will see only close above 23420 level only

Trade with levels only



Today's Top Pick



DCB Bank





Below 195 will see downside panic till 180 mark in days to come.

Looks positive only if close above 208. Any sharp rise will be selling opportunity in it. 

Corporate Action Today


Hindustan Construction Company Limited- Annual General Meeting

Engineers India Limited- Buyback














More will update soon!!⁠⁠⁠⁠

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

जल्दी करे और हमारे प्री GST ऑफर का लाभ उठाये |



जैसा की हम सब जानते है 01 जुलाई 2017 से पूरे भारत में GST लागु होने वाला है और मौजूदा 15% सर्विस टैक्स रेट बढ़कर 18% हो जायेंगे |

इसलिए कीजिये बड़ी बचत |

हमारी सभी सर्विसेज पर 18 % GST टैक्स रेट की बचत करे | आज ही सब्सक्राइब कीजिये हमारी 1 महीने, 3 महीने, 6 महीने या 1 साल की सर्विस, भुगतान करे केवल पैकेज प्राइस का और बचाये पूरे 18% टैक्स |

यह ऑफर केवल 30 जून 2017 रात 11.59 🕛 तक ही उपलब्ध है | जल्दी करे और इस ऑफर का लाभ उठाये |

ज्यादा जानकारी के लिए दिए हुए नंबर पर कॉल करे ☎ +91- 70651 11166 or +91-8744868888











टीम इंडियन मार्किट व्यू

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 27th June 17




Gold futures traded higher on MCX, recovering from the prior session's six-week low as market players looked ahead to comments from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen for further signs of the central bank's likely rate hike trajectory through the end of the year.


Crude oil futures traded higher on MCX as investors and speculators indulged in covering up their short positions in the energy commodity despite lingering worries over a persistent global supply glut. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its partners has been trying to reduce a global glut with output cuts. OPEC nations and 11 other exporters agreed in May to extend cuts of 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) until March 2018.


Comex copper futures ended marginally higher on Monday, while London copper prices eased after US durable goods data missed forecasts despite expectations for upbeat Chinese demand and concerns over mine supply kept the metal underpinned near Friday’s 11-week high. Copper futures edged higher on MCX due to uptick in demand from consuming industries at the domestic spot market.



Technical Level



Gold 




Support at 28350 and Resistance 28850

Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 28850, further upside rally will see above 28850 mark, else could touch its support level of 28350 mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 28350 mark.



Silver



Support at 37700 and Resistance at 38400

Close above 38400 will take it to 38900—39300 mark else could touch its support level of 37700 mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 37700 mark.



Crude (July)



Support at 2750 and Resistance at 2815

Above 2815... rally remain continue till 2880 –2920+++ mark in days to come else it could touch its support level of 2750.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 2750.



Copper 


Support at 372 and Resistance at 378

Looks positive and could touch it resistance level of 378 mark. Break and sustain above 378 will take it to 383—387+++ mark else could touch its support level of 372 mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 372.00



Economic Data


07:30 P.M CB Consumer Confidence:  Previous 117.9, Forecast 116.1, Actual –??

Impact – Increase in CB Consumer Confidence - will have negative impact bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index vice – versa.




11:30 P.M Fed Chair Yellen Speaks













More will update soon!!

Currency Report 27th June 2017



Rupee snaps 3-day losing run on Friday



Snapping three-day losing streak, Indian rupee recovered against the American currency on Friday, on the back of dollar sales by exporters and bank. Sentiments got some support with Urjit Patel’s statement that the GST regime will expand the taxation base which in turn will lower the overall tax burden in the long-term. Investors shrugged off the report that funding of crop loan waivers is likely to worsen the fiscal deficit and leverage levels of state governments with gross state development loans issued by the state governments expected to rise by Rs 70,000 crore in FY2018. Besides, dollar weakness against other currencies overseas also supported the rupee sentiment but capital outflows from the domestic equity market restricted the further gains. On the global front, dollar eased against yen on Friday, as investors awaited US inflation data due next week to provide clues on the US Federal Reserve’s likely interest rate policy.




USDINR



Support at 64.30 and resistance at 64.60---64.75

Trading in range either side breakout with volumes will decide further.



GBPINR



Support at 81.70 and Resistance at 82.30

Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 82.30. Break and sustain above 82.30 will take it to 82.60—82.80 and then to 83.00++ mark in days to come else could touch its support level of 81.70 mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 81.70



EURINR



Support at 71.95 and resistance 72.40


Trading in range either side breakout with volumes will decide further.



JPYINR


Support at 57.60 and Resistance at 57.80

Break and sustain below 57.60 will take it to 57.30—57.10 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 57.80 mark.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 57.80 mark.













More will update soon!!

Weekly Derivative Outlook




•  Nifty June future is trading at a premium of 15.10 points as compared to a premium of 3.10 points in the last trading session. 
Bank Nifty June future is trading at a premium of 3.40 points as compared to a discount of 7.20 points.

• Call writing was seen at 9600 & 9700 strikes, put writing was seen at 9500 strike and put buying 
(unwinding by writers) was seen at 9400 strike. 


• Maximum positions are at 9700 CE and 9500 PE. Nifty is likely to trade in the range of 9700-9500.

 • J.P Associate (41%), Adani Power (14%), Colpal (13%), 
Andhra Bank (10%) and PFC (10%) were the top open 
interest gainers in the market.


• Fortis (-14%), Ramco Cement (-11%), Allahabad Bank (-11%), Ashok Leyland 
(-10%) and Niit Tech (-10%) were the top open interest 
losers in the market.

• Fertilisers, Media, Pharma  and Banking stocks lost the  most during last week.

• FIIs were net seller of  around 523Cr whereas DIIs  were net buyers of around  1421Cr in cash segment during the week.   

• Around 9.21 lakh shares were added in open interest 
with decrease in price indicating short buildup was observed by market participants in today’s trade.

• On the options front volatility index has increased in Friday's trade by around 3.59 %.



Derivative Idea


Andhra Bank added around  10%  of  open  interest  as  fresh  short  positions. It  has  also  witnessed  congestion  zone  breakdown  of  last  
20 trading session or so on  daily charts.  It  has  also  shown  breakdown  from  21DEMA  on  daily  charts.  


Trading Recommendations


Sell Andhra Bank Future below 55.00 Stop 58.00 Target 51.00--48.00













More will update soon!!

Highlights of the first Modi-Trump meeting




 Prime Minister Narendra Modi met US President Donald Trump at the White House on Monday as part of his US visit. Here are the highlights


US-India ties have ‘never been stronger’, says Donald Trump after Modi meeting: Narendra Modi hails the US as primary partner in rapid social and economic transformation, Donald Trump lauds PM for overseeing growth rates faster than any major economy


Reliance Industries seeks shareholders’ nod to raise Rs25,000 crore via debt: Reliance Industries proposes to raise funds via private placement of non-convertible debt instruments to meet capital expenditure target


Banks may move NCLT against four of 12 major defaulters this week: Monnet Ispat, Alok Industries, Amtek Auto and Essar Steel will likely be the first companies where bankruptcy proceedings are initiated this week

GST: Car firms brace for short-term losses: Hyundai, Mahindra offer steep discounts to push car sales before GST implementation, Maruti Suzuki, Toyota cut shipments to dealers to liquidate stock


Uttar Pradesh farmers worried over farm loan waiver conditions: Uttar Pradesh’s farm loan waiver plan covers small, marginal farmers with debts of up to Rs1 lakh, leaving the rest a worried lot


Wal-Mart to benefit from GST in India: Krish Iyer: Wal-Mart India CEO Krish Iyer says under GST, the need for warehouses in every state will go away—a big benefit in terms of economies of scale

Textile traders to go on strike against GST on Tuesday: Textile traders, who will begin a three-day strike on Tuesday in protest against the goods and services tax (GST) Council’s decision to levy 5% tax on the sector


Chinese troops enter Sikkim, destroy two bunkers: In another transgression, Chinese troops entered India in the Sikkim sector and jostled with Indian Army personnel guarding the Sino-India frontier


Relief for Amazon, Flipkart as govt delays key GST provision 
Ecommerce players had feared losing business as a large number of small suppliers were yet to register their operations as required under GST guidelines.


Ordinance empowering RBI in tackling bad loans only a one-off measure: YV Reddy
"The regulator has to tackle a situation where the bank and its management are not doing their job," former RBI Governor Reddy told ET.


Developers reel under losses as Rajasthan companies shut off wind power supply
A key characteristic of wind energy is its ‘infirm’ or ‘erratic’ nature with output varying considerably depending on the speed at which the...


How GST will alter contours of the automobile industry - for the better
GST may provide a fillip to aspirational segments - mid-sized sedans and SUVs - especially at the luxury end - which combined account for ju...


Motherson Sumi, Maruti Suzuki may hit target a year earlier
Maruti Suzuki is likely to hit its production target of 2 million vehicles on a yearly basis at least two quarters into FY19, powered by dem...


TVS Motors, Royal Enfield to pass on GST benefit to customers
Niche bike maker Royal Enfield has reduced prices of its models by up to Rs 2,300 while TVS Motors did not disclose quantum of price cut on ...


Banks may have to take 60% haircut on 12 largest NPAs: Crisil
The state-run Corporation Bank also last week sent the Delhi-based auto ancillary maker Amtek Auto, which is in default of Rs 14,075 crore, ...


India should aim to get 40% electricity from nuclear power by 2050: M R Srinivasan, Former AEC chief
Srinivasan said while the country should encourage solar and wind power to the maximum extent, for the base load requirements the way forwar...


ONGC turns to GSPC's undersea infrastructure for KG-basin gas output
ONGC last year agreed to buy GSPC's 80 per cent interest in the KG-OSN-2001/3 block, which sits next to the state-owned firm's KG-DWN-98/2 o...


HPCL joins talks to buy stake in Russian oil fields
Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Oil India (OIL) and Bharat PetroResources (BPRL), a unit of Bharat Petroleum Corporation, came in using the in...

Coal on the rise in China, US, India after major 2016 drop
The fuel's popularity waned over the past several years as renewable power and natural gas made gains and China moved to curb dangerous leve...


Siemens, Schneider Electric and Eaton Corporation join ABB in race for L&T's electrical unit
Depending upon the final valuation, L&T will either divest its entire holding or retain a minority stake that will be sold later, sources sa...


Tata Steel could merge some of its subsidiaries: MD, TV Narendran
Tata Steel has 22 subsidiary companies, including listed companies such as Tata Sponge and Tata Metaliks. About half of these were loss maki...


Essar Steel eyes 25% market share in auto-grade steel segment
Automotive high strength steel grades maintain the safety standards of vehicles, while improving fuel efficiency through lightweighting.














More will update soon!!

GST: TDS for e-commerce firms deferred ahead of 1 July rollout




With just 4-days left for the goods and services tax (GST) rollout, the government has deferred implementation of Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) and Tax Collection at Source (TCS) provisions as well as exempted from registration small businesses selling on e-commerce platform.

E-commerce companies will not be required to collect 1% TCS while making payment to suppliers under GST which will be rolled out from 1 July. As per the Central GST (CGST) Act, the notified entities are required to collect TDS at 1% on payments to suppliers to goods or services in excess of Rs2.5 lakh.

This provision has been kept in abeyance. Based on the feedback received from trade and industry, the government has decided to postpone provision relating to TDS (Section 51) and TCS (Section 52) of the CGST/State GST Act 2017, with the objective of ensuring smooth rollout of GST, the finance ministry said in a statement.

Small businesses, with turnover less than Rs20 lakh, will also not be required to register themselves under the GST for selling goods or services through e-commerce portal. In other words, persons supplying goods or services through electronic commerce operator liable to collect tax at source would not be required to obtain registration immediately.

Given the huge rush, it is unlikely that all registrations would be done before the 1 July rollout date
(http://www.livemint.com/Politics/urueNdCpZmQgfeRSn6kpUO/Govt-defers-TDS-TCS-collection-to-ensure-smooth-rollout-of.html)⁠⁠⁠⁠











More will update soon!!

Update on Nifty levels and Bank Nifty levels of the day 27th June 2017






Nifty 9,574 /Sensex 31,138/ Bank Nifty 23,542

12 Advances / 39 Declines/ 0 Unchanged


Benchmarks end a disappointing day with around half a percent cut
Indian markets finished last trading session of the week on a daunting note, as the frontline equity indices failed to showcase any kind of resilience and kept drifting around lower levels. Sentiments remained subdued with the report that funding of crop loan waivers is likely to worsen the fiscal deficit and leverage levels of state governments with gross state development loans issued by the state governments expected to rise by Rs 70,000 crore in FY2018. So far, Maharashtra and UP have waived nearly 30-40% of outstanding agri-bank credit, while for Punjab it was 15%. The NSE’s 50-share broadly followed index, Nifty dipped below the psychological 9,600 support level, while the Bombay Stock Exchange’s sensitive index, Sensex a saw triple digit fall to sink below the crucial 31,200 mark. Meanwhile, caution is likely to prevail in the near term as India gears up to unveil a nationwide goods and services tax (GST) on July 1, while monitoring global factors such as falling crude prices.
Some weakness also came with the report that asset quality pain for banks is expected to continue in fiscal year ended March 2018 due to restructuring by banks, weakness in some large corporate accounts and events like waiver of farm loans. It expects gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) of Indian banks to increase to 9.9% to 10.2% by March 2018 from 9.5% in March 2017 with fresh slippages of loans expected at 3% to 4% in the fiscal. Investors failed to get any sense of relief with Reserve Bank Governor Urjit Patel’s statement that he is not 'overly pessimistic' about employment scenario in the IT sector, pointing out that mushrooming startups can compensate for job losses. He also highlighted that the soon-to-be implemented GST will not only create a national market but will also broaden the tax base which in turn will lower the overall taxes in the long-term.
On the global front, Asian equity markets made a mixed closing on Friday, with China in focus after the country’s banking regulator sought more information on credit risks linked to loans to major companies that bought major assets abroad. Crude oil’s extended decline this week and the effect it is having on broader financial markets has been weighing on investor sentiment and dragged down energy shares. Further, the Japanese market is little changed following the mixed cues from Wall Street and as crude oil prices advanced overnight from ten-month lows. Meanwhile, European markets were under pressure as investors monitored the movement of oil prices and focused on developments from the EU Summit in Brussels.
Back home, the market breadth remained pessimistic, as there were 676 shares on the gaining side against 1948 shares on the losing side, while 132 shares remained unchanged.



FII’s Activity 23rd-June-17


The FIIs as per Friday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6638.35 crore against gross selling of Rs 6129.63 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 508.72 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 881.73 crore with gross sales of Rs 674.90 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 206.83 crore in de


Now what to expect??





Nifty Levels




Support at 9580 and resistance at 9650

Above 9650 will see rally till 9680---9750 mark.

Panic will see only close between 9580 level only



Bank Nifty Levels



Support at 23400 and resistance at 23600

Above 23600 will see further upside rally till 23700---23750 mark.

Fresh downside panic will see only close below 23400 mark.

Trade with levels only


AGM Today


Apollo Tyres Limited- Annual General Meeting/Dividend - Rs 3/- per Share

Capital First Limited- Annual General Meeting/Dividend - Rs 2.60 per Share















More will update soon!!