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Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Update on Nifty levels and Bank Nifty levels of the day 14th June 2017





Nifty 9,606 /Sensex 31,103/ Bank Nifty 23,477

18 Advances / 33 Declines/ 0 Unchanged


Indian benchmarks pare early gains; end on a flat note
Indian equity benchmarks showed a volte-face on Tuesday as what started on a promising note ended as a dismal show. The optimism in domestic markets petered out completely by the end of trade and the benchmarks even drifted in to the negative territory despite getting off to a gap-up opening. Market men were optimistic for most part of the session, as softer-than-expected inflation data fuelled hopes of a rate cut by the central bank at its next policy review in August. Data released late on Monday showed consumer inflation easing to 2.18% in May, helped by a drop in food prices - the lowest since India started publishing an economy-wide consumer price index in 2012. Some support also came with Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s statement that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was at a fairly advanced stage of preparing a list of borrowers from whom non-performing assets (NPAs) of public sector banks could be recovered under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code. The move would help beleaguered public sector banks (PSBs) recover part of their NPAs, estimated at over Rs 6 lakh crore. However, the sanguinity in local markets was under check as profit booking in IT, Metal  and Auto counters exerted downside pressure on the frontline indices and dragged near the psychological 9,600 (Nifty) and 31,100 (Sensex) levels. Investors turned jittery ahead of the US Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting that kicks off later today where they are widely expected to hike the policy rate this time. Adding the pessimism among investors, Industrial production growth slipped to 3.1% in April compared to the same period last year, when industrial production grew by 6.5%, though it was better than last month.
On the global front, Asian markets were trading mostly higher on Tuesday, as investors took a cautiously optimistic stance ahead of a US Federal Reserve policy meeting that could provide cue on the pace of rate hikes in the months to come. The positive sentiments across the region was also supported by oil prices, which edged up in early trade, following statements that OPEC leader Saudi Arabia was making significant supply cuts to customers. However, the Japanese market edged lower following the weak cues overnight from Wall Street and a stronger yen. Meanwhile, European markets gained, with technology shares in recovery mode after a selloff in the previous session that pushed the market to its worst close in nearly a month.
Back home, after getting a firm start, the local benchmarks maintained their gain for most part of the session, however profit booking in frontline blue-chip stocks in late hours dragged the key indices below neutral lines. Finally, the Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index Sensex settled a tad above of its physiological level of 31,100 mark, while the 50 share index --Nifty-- closed just above its 9,600 mark.




FII’s Activity 13-June-17


The FIIs as per Tuesday’s data were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 3517.45 crore against gross selling of Rs 3522.11 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net sellers of Rs 4.66 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 684.04 crore with gross sales of Rs 567.17 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 116.87 crore in debt.



Now what to expect next??





Nifty Levels







Support at 9580 and resistance at 9620.

Above 9620 will see further upside rally till 9650--9680 mark else it could test its support level of 9580 again.

Trade in a range with levels only.



Bank Nifty Levels






Support at 23400 and resistance at 23600

Above 23600 will see further upside rally till 23850---24000 else it could test its support level of 23400 again.

Break and close below 23400 will take to 23200---23050 mark.

Trade with levels only



Ex-Dividend Today

Can Fin Homes Limited 10 /- Per share
















More will update soon!!

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Options on Commodity Futures- Product Design and Risk Management Framework




Options on Commodity Futures- Product Design and Risk Management Framework 


Jun 13, 2017|Circular No.: SEBI/HO/CDMRD/DMP/CIR/P/2017/55


For more click on the link below:













More will update soon!!

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 13th June 17

                        


Gold futures edged lower on MCX as investors remained cautious ahead of a two-day US Federal Reserve meeting that is likely to provide hints on the central bank's interest rate policy for the remainder of the year.



Crude oil futures extended their gains on Monday, trimming some of last week’s losses despite further signs of robust U.S. production. Prices got a boost after Saudi Arabia and Russia attempted to quell investor fears concerning the glut in supply, insisting that declines in inventories will accelerate over the near term. Meanwhile, Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its latest monthly release said that oil production from the biggest US shale fields will rise by 127,000 barrels a day to 5.475 million barrels a day in July from June. Surging US production has offset production quotas from OPEC and Russia this year.

Comex copper futures ended lower on Monday, while London copper prices too fell ahead of a meeting of the US Federal Reserve and economic data from top consumer China that could yield clues to future demand growth. However, some losses were capped by a lower US currency, which when it falls makes dollar-denominated metals cheaper for non-US firms, potentially boosting demand.



Technical Level



Gold




Below 28900 panic remain 28750---28600 mark else could touch its resistance level of 29050

Fresh buying can be initiated above 29050.




Silver





As expected... We have seen free fall in Silver. From 40400---39777

Today again told to sell below 39000 mark

Now what to expect???

Trend looks weak and could touch its support level of 38700. Break and sustain below 38700 will take it to 38450---38200 mark.

Book part profit and revise stop loss of 39200



Crude 



Support at 2975 and Resistance at 3015

Break and sustain below 2975 will take it to 2930—2880 and then to 2800 mark else it could touch its resistance level of 3015 again.

Trade with levels only




Natural Gas






Support at 194.50---191.50 and Resistance at 199.50
  
Trading in range either side breakout with volumes will decide further.




Copper 



Our sell call of Copper proven great and now trading around 369

Now what to expect???

Close below 368 will take it 363---360 and then to 356 mark else it could test it's resistance level of 376---380 again

Trade with levels only.





Economic Data


06:00 P.M PPI m/m:  Previous 0.5% Forecast 0.0%, Actual –??

Impact – Increase in PPI m/m – will have positive impact on bullion and negative impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – versa.
















More will update soon!!

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RBI nearly done listing loans for resolution through bankruptcy




The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is at an advanced stage of preparing a list of bad loans where resolution is required under the country's insolvency and bankruptcy rules, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said on Monday.

Last month, India tweaked its laws to help tackle a record $150 billion in troubled bank debt. The government has authorised the central bank to direct banks to initiate an insolvency resolution process in the case of a default under provisions of the bankruptcy code.

"The RBI is at a fairly advanced stage of preparing a list of those debtors where a resolution is required through the IBC (Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code) process and you'll shortly be hearing about it," Jaitley told reporters after meeting bank chief executives.

The finance minister also said the government was actively working on consolidating state-run banks, although Monday's meeting did not discuss the topic.














More will update soon!!

Reliance Jio Costs Rival Telecom Operators Rs 7,200 Crore





Reliance Jio Infocomm’s free blitz cost the Indian telecom sector more than Rs 7,000 crore.

The telecom industry saw its revenue decline 5 percent in the last financial year, the first time ever, data released by the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) showed.

The revenue of Bharti Airtel Ltd. and Idea Cellular Ltd. grew in the half year ended September last year, but fell in the following six months after Reliance Jio launched services, according to Bloomberg data. Vodafone India’s service revenue also rose in six months ended September, but fell for the year ended March, according to its financial statement.

The country’s newest telecom service provider offered free data and voice services for seven months, before it start charging from April this year. Reliance Jio’s entry forced incumbents to either ramp up their offerings at cheaper rates, or lose subscribers, leading to a rise in the top three telecom companies’ market share.

However, in absolute terms, the adjusted gross revenue of the top three companies fell by 10 percent to Rs 24,100 crore. It fell 14 percent to Rs 29,900 crore for the industry.














More will update soon!!

⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Government close to resolving some bad power loans - Piyush Goyal



The government is close to resolving bad loans made in the power industry for companies that owe money and are not avoiding repayment on purpose, Power Minister Piyush Goyal told reporters on Monday.

Bad loans in the power sector continue to weigh on India's banks, and the government has been looking for ways to help ease the pain for companies struggling to service their debts.
Goyal, speaking to reporters in New Delhi, did not immediately elaborate on how it would resolve the bad loans.















More will update soon!!

Update on Nifty levels and Bank Nifty levels of the day 13th June 2017







Nifty 9,616/Sensex 31,095/ Bank Nifty 23,470

13 Advances / 38 Declines/ 0 Unchanged


Indian benchmarks slipped ahead  of inflation data due later yesterday and Fed policy on Wednesday

Indian markets made a nervous start to the week as the benchmarks plummeted over half a percent, as investors took profits off the table ahead of IIP and inflation data due later yesterday. Sentiments remained dismal, as the State Bank of India expressed concern that demonetisation, announced in November 2016, may continue to result in slowing down of the economy, and adversely affect its business. It said that the long-term impact of this move on the Indian economy and the banking sector is uncertain. Besides, weak global cues coupled with depreciation in Indian rupee against the dollar too weighed down sentiments.
The frontline indices shaved off over half percent and breached 31,100 (Sensex) and 9,650 (Nifty) levels on the downside. The broader markets too mirrored their larger peers and drifted to lower levels to snap the day on a pessimistic note. Some concerns also came after government of Maharashtra on Sunday announced a loan waiver for farmers and decided to form a committee to decide the criteria of debt relief. The loan waiver of around Rs 30,000 crore will affect the state fiscal and 'impact the credit discipline' among borrowers. Further, market participants failed to get any sense of relief with the report that the southwest monsoon is making a steady advance into Maharashtra & West Bengal and the weatherman has predicted a good week ahead. India Meteorological Department Director General KJ Ramesh said monsoon is in an active phase and has reached Mumbai, Mahabaleshwar (in Maharashtra) and several parts of the Konkan region, apart from Bijapur district in north Karnataka.
On the global front, Asian equity markets ended mostly lower on Monday, as markets turned cautious, ahead of a US Federal Reserve policy meeting that could give hints on the pace of further rate tightening in the months to come and next year. With the Fed widely expected to raise interest rates at its two-day meeting that ends on Wednesday, investors will be focusing on whether the central bank thinks the U.S. economy is robust enough to withstand further rate hikes through 2017 and how it plans to whittle down its massive balance sheet. Further, Japanese shares ended lower after the country's core machinery orders fell more than expected in April, casting doubt on the strength of companies' capital spending and adding to concerns about the country's fragile economic recovery. The 3.1% fall in the core orders from a month earlier was much bigger than the 1.3% decline expected by many economists, potentially dragging on economic growth in the current quarter.  Meanwhile, European markets were in the red, amid a sell-off in the technology sector and uncertainty over Britain's political landscape after the governing Conservative Party lost its parliamentary majority in a general election last week.
Back home, several Jewellery stocks gained after the GST Council decided to reduce GST rates for jewellery making charges to 5% from 18% earlier. The Council's earlier decision of 18% attracted much discontent among jewellery manufacturers, as impractical and likely to cause immense job losses, as 95% of jewellery is made on the basis of job work. On the other hand, banking stocks came under selling pressure, ahead of a meet between Arun Jaitley and public sector banks (PSBs) heads to discuss the issue of non-performing assets (NPAs) and the steps being taken by them to expedite the recovery of bad loans that have crossed Rs 6 lakh crore.


FII’s Activity 12-June-17

The FIIs as per Monday’s data were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4044.54 crore against gross selling of Rs 4113.59 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net sellers of Rs 69.05 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 4965.25 crore with gross sales of Rs 1456.21 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 3509.04 crore in debt.



Now what to expect next??







Nifty Levels




Support at 9580 and resistance at 9650.

Above 9650 will see further upside rally till 9680--9720 mark else it could test its support level of 9580 again.

Trade in a range with levels only.



Bank Nifty Levels




Support at 23360 and resistance at 23580

Above 23580 will see further upside rally till 23740---23860 mark.

More upside rally will see only close above 23860 level else it could test its support level of 23360 again.



Ex-Dividend Today


Tata Consultancy Services Limited Rs 27.50/- Per share

Ex-Bonus Today

Wipro Limited 1:1

















More will update soon!!

Monday, June 12, 2017

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 12th June 17





Gold futures edged lower on Monday with views ahead of the June policy review by the Fed key for the precious metal. In the week ahead, investors will be turning their attention to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy meeting, where the central bank is widely expected to deliver its second rate hike so far this year. Markets will also be watching central bank meetings in the UK, Japan and Switzerland.



Crude oil futures traded marginally higher on MCX as traders bet the market may have bottomed after recent falls, even as physical markets remain bloated, especially from a relentless rise in US drilling.



Comex copper futures ended higher on Thursday as investors reacted positively to the import data from China. Chinese imports jumped 14.8 percent year on year, accelerating from an 11.9 percent rise in April and blowing past expectations of an 8.5 percent rise.




Technical Level




Gold 




Support at 28900 and Resistance at 29200

Trend looks weak and could touch its support level of 28900. Break and sustain below 28900 will take it to 28750---28600 mark else could touch its resistance level of 29200 mark.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 29200







Silver




Support at 39300 and Resistance at 40050


Looks weak and could touch its support level of 39300, Close below 39300 will take it to 39000—38700 mark in days to come.


Hurdle at 40050 mark.






Crude 



Support at 2940 and Resistance at 3030--3080

Traders can trade in a range with strict stop loss and wait for confirmation.




Natural Gas




Support at 193.50 and Resistance at 199.50
  
Trading in range either side breakout with volumes will decide further.




Copper 



Support at 373 and Resistance at 378

Close above 378 will take to 382—385 and then to 391 mark else could touch its support level of 373 again

Fresh selling can be initiated below 373 mark.












More will update soon!!