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Tuesday, June 6, 2017

Agro Commodity Update (06-June-2017)






Soybean





Support at 2710 and Resistance at 2800

Trend looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 2800.

Break and sustain above 2800 will take it to 2850---2880++ mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 2710



Soyaref



Support at 616 and resistance of 622.50

Break and sustain above 622.50 will take it to 625—628++ mark else could touch its support level of 616 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 616.

Trade with levels only.



Dhaniya 






Support at 4650 and Resistance is 4800

Close above 4800 will take it to 4870---4930 and then to 5000+++ mark else could touch its support level of 4650.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 4650


Jeera 






Support is 18000 and resistance is at 18300

Close 18300 will take it to 18700---18950 and then to 19200 mark in days to come else could touch its support level of 18000 again.

Fresh selling can be seen below 18000



Rmseed




Support at 3500 and Resistance 3600

Close above 3600 will take it to 3650—3680 and then to 3730++ mark in days to come else could touch its support level of 3500.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 3500

Trade with levels only.



Turmeric








Support is 5300 and resistance is at 5520

Trade in a range with levels only and wait for confirmation


Cocudakl





Support 1650 and resistance at 1710.

Looks weak and close below 1650 will take it to 1610---1570 mark else could touch its resistance level of 1710 again.

Trade with levels only.




Mentha oil (June)






Support at 900 and resistance at 915

Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 915, close above 915 will take it to 925—930 and then to 945+ mark else could touch its support level of 900

Fresh selling can be initiated below 900


CPO (June)





Support at 490 and Resistance at 500

Trading in a range and either side breakout will confirm the further trend

Trade with levels only 



Castor Seed





Support at 4260 and Resistance at 4440

Close above 4440 will take it to 4500—4580++ mark else could touch its support level of 4260.

Fresh selling can be seen below 4260

Trade with levels only















More will update soon!!

Currency Report 6th June 2017






Rupee appreciates for fourth consecutive session on Monday


Indian rupee ended stronger against dollar for the fourth straight day on Monday, on increased selling of the US currency by exporters and banks amid higher foreign fund inflows. Investors got support with a World Bank report stating that successful demonetisation will help in raising revenues on sustained basis as more and more people will come under the tax net. Some support also came with private report that the country's services sector activity increased at its fastest pace in four months in May led by a faster rise in new business inflows. The Nikkei/IHS Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index rose to a seven-month high of 52.2 in May, from April's 50.2. 

Moreover, positive gains in the local equity markets coupled with weak dollar against some currencies overseas too provided added momentum to the rupee. However, gains were muted as investors remained cautious ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting, which begins tomorrow. On the global front, dollar somewhat drifted away from a seventh-month low against other currencies after US employment data showed only few jobs were added to the country’s economy in May, while figures in the past two months were revised lower.


USDINR (June)






Support at 64.40 and Resistance at 64.70

Trading in range …either side breakout with volumes will decide further.



GBPINR





Above 83.35 rally remain continue till 83.50—83.80++ mark.


Support and stop loss below 83.10 mark.




EURINR





Support at 72.50 and Hurdle at 72.85


Break and sustain above 72.85 will see upside rally till 73.00—73.20++ mark else could touch its support level of 72.50 mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 72.50



JPYINR




Yesterday on blog clearly indicated that JPYINR looks positive above 58.20 and can touch 58.60—58.95. Just made high of 58.76.

Now what to expect??

Hurdle at 58.95

Close above 58.95 will see upside rally till 59.10—59.30++ mark.

Support at 58.50














More will update soon!!

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Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 6th June 2017





Nifty 9,675/Sensex 29,518/ Bank Nifty 23,459

33 Advances / 18 Declines/ 0 Unchanged



Indian markets settle with moderate gain; Sensex ends above 31,300 for first time

Indian stock markets, which appeared to be wandering on a directionless trajectory through the morning trades, witnessed some renewed buying interests in Consumer Durables and Realty counters during the noon session, which helped the equity indices to snap second straight session on a positive note. The gains were, however, capped as investors remained cautious ahead of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s policy meeting, which begins tomorrow. Market is hoping that RBI may review its current stance of neutral to accommodative considering the slowdown in economic activity and consolidation in current & future outlook in inflation. Furthermore, HSBC's latest report indicated India's economic growth is expected to remain flat at 7.1% in current fiscal as investment is still weak and government spending might not be as high given the fiscal consolidation. According to the global financial services major, the GDP growth momentum is slowing since mid-2016 and this trend is expected to continue going forward.
Sentiments got a boost with the report that Services sector activity in India grew at the fastest pace in four months in May riding piggyback on higher work orders as companies inducted more people to cope with greater workloads. The Nikkei India Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks services sector output on a monthly basis, rose from 50.2 in April to 52.2 in May. Some support also came with World Bank report indicating that successful demonetization will help in raising revenues on sustained basis as more and more people will come under the tax net. During 2016-17, India generated additional tax revenues as unreported cash identified both through the amnesty scheme and demonetisation were brought under the tax net. Meanwhile, shares of jewellery companies rose sharply today, following the government's announcement of GST rates on gold. The GST Council on Saturday announced that the rate on gold and gold jewellery would be at 3%, while the import duty of 10%, which will be over and above the 3%, remains unchanged. Currently, tax on gold and jewellery is at 2% and the current GST rate is slightly higher at 3%, but lower than the 5% rate that was expected.
On the global front, Asian markets ended the session mixed on Monday, as investors turned jittery after deadly attacks in London at the weekend and the potential impact on parliamentary elections scheduled for June 8, 2017. Prices of oil rose following reports that four Arab nations cut diplomatic ties to Qatar. Further, China's stocks declined, as sharp losses in financial firms offset news the securities regulator had cut the number of initial public offerings coming onto the market. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) approved on Friday only four IPOs to raise up to 1.5 billion yuan ($220.5 million), down from 7 IPOs in the past week. Japanese shares ended flat, keeping close to a 22-month high scaled at the end of last week as the yen's rise against the dollar stalled. Meanwhile, Europe markets were trading mostly weak, as investors eyed an upcoming monetary policy meeting from the European Central Bank (ECB).
Back home, the local equity benchmark started the session on cautious note, tracking mixed trade in other regional markets and disappointing US jobs data. The indices gained movement in late morning trade and surged around quarter percent, but weak opening of European markets and cautiousness ahead of the RBI’s monetary policy meet tomorrow, keep the indices in tight range for rest of the session. Finally, the NSE's 50-share broadly followed index Nifty got buttressed by around quarter percent to settle above the crucial 9,650 support level, while Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index-Sensex accumulated over thirty points and closed above the psychological 31,300 mark. The market breadth remained optimistic, as there were 1438 shares on the gaining side against 1237 shares on the losing side, while 189 shares remained unchanged.



FII’s Activity 05-June-17


The FIIs as per Monday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4535.70 crore against gross selling of Rs 4422.33 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 113.37 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 3004.00 crore with gross sales of Rs 403.09 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 2600.91 crore in debt.



Now what to expect next??







Nifty Levels






Support at 9580 and resistance at 9735.

Above 9680 will see upside rally till 9735 mark. More and more power will see only close above 9735 else it could test its support level of 9580 again.

Trade in a range with levels only.


Bank Nifty Levels




Support at 23200 and resistance at 23400

Above 23400 will see further upside rally till 23600---23750 mark.

More upside rally will see only close above 23750 level else it could test its support level of 23200 again.


Today's Top Pick


Bharat Wire Ropes Limited




Support at 95 and Resistance at 103

Above 103 will see upside rally till 114---118+++ mark.


Looks weak only if close below 95.00


















More will update soon!!⁠⁠⁠⁠

Monday, June 5, 2017

Once again our report subscribers minted money in TONSSS




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Update on Base Metals






Copper 





Support at 360 and resistance is 367.

Looks weak and close below 360 will take it to 352---345 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 367.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 367 mark.



Nickel 




Support at 562 and resistance 590

Close below 562 will see more downside panic till 540---525 mark else could test its resistance level of 590

Fresh buying can be initiated above 590.

Trade with levels only.



Lead 






Support at 133 and Resistance at 137.20

Trend looks weak and could test it's support level of 133. Two consecutive closes below 133 will see more downside fall in it.

Fresh buying can be initiated only close above 137.20


Zinc





As we clearly indicated that below 165 panic remain continue till 162---159 mark. Price tested the low of 159.30.

Now what to expect??? 

Close below 159.00 will see further downside fall in it. 

Hurdle intact at 164



Aluminium



Support at 122.80 and resistance is 125.20

Close below 122.80 will take it to 120.50---119.00 mark else could touch its resistance level of 125.20 again.

Trade with levels only. Anything seems will update














More will update soon!!

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 5th June 17

           


            

Gold futures edged higher on Monday buoyed as a disappointing US jobs report appeared to dilute the prospects for an aggressive string of interest rate hikes in the United States. US job growth slowed in May and employment gains in the prior two months were not as strong as previously reported, suggesting the labor market was losing momentum despite the unemployment rate falling to a 16-year low of 4.3 percent.



Crude oil futures slumped on Friday and extended the weekly losses, as US President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw from the 2015 Paris climate agreement, sparked concerns that U.S. oil production could expand rapidly in the absence of a stringent focus on curbing the use of fossil fuels. The Paris Agreement laid out a framework for countries to adopt clean energy and phase out fossil fuels such as oil, coal and natural gas. Crude also came under pressure as the industry figures showed US drillers added rigs for the 20th week in a row. Oilfield services firm Baker Hughes reported its weekly count of oil rigs rose by 11 to a total 733. Domestic oil companies have been adding rigs at a furious pace in 2017 in an effort to glean market share from OPEC and Russia.

Copper futures traded lower on MCX as participants reduced their exposures, tracking a weak trend at spot market on sluggish demand.




Technical Level



Gold






Close above 29150 will take it to 29450—29600 mark in days to come

Fresh selling can be initiated below 28900


Silver






Hurdle at 40500, Close above 40500 will take it to 40800---41200+++ mark in days to come else could touch its support level of 40000 again

Fresh selling can be initiated below 40000 mark.




Crude 






Our sell call again proven great and made a low of 3056. Told to sell around 3090

Now what to expect???

Support at 3025 and Resistance at 3130

Below 3080 will see downside panic till 3025 and then to 2980---2930  mark

Upside rally will see above close 3130 mark.



Natural Gas






Support at 192.50 and Resistance at 196.50

Above 196.50 will take it to 199—202 and then to 205+++ else could touch its support level of 192.50 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 192.50 mark


Economic Data



06:00 P.M Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q:  Previous -0.6% Forecast -0.6%, Actual –??

Impact – Increase in Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q – will have negative impact on bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – versa.




07:30 P.M – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI– Previous 57.5 Forecast 57.1 Actual –?? 

Impact – Increase in ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI – will have negative impact bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index vice – versa.



07:30 P.M Factory Orders m/m:  Previous -0.2%, Forecast 0.2% Actual –??

Impact – Increase in Factory Orders m/m – will have negative impact on bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – versa.
















More will update soon!!