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Friday, May 26, 2017

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 26th May 2017









Nifty 9,509 /Sensex 30,301 / Bank Nifty 23,190

42 Advances / 9 Declines/ 0 Unchanged



Indian benchmarks display spirited performance; Sensex rallies over 400 pts

The May series futures and options expiry session turned out to be an action-packed event for the Indian equity indices, as they staged a smart intraday rally and even went ahead to conquer the psychological 9,500 (Nifty) and 30,700 (Sensex) levels. Investors continued to build hefty positions across the board as sentiments got a boost after Cabinet approved dismantling of the two-decade-old Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) and defined a new mechanism to approve overseas investment applications and hasten fund flows. The move will avoid the need for multiple clearances. It also approved the much-awaited strategic partnership policy for defense manufacturing and a new government procurement policy that will give preference to local goods. Besides, fresh spell of buying by foreign investors who were net sellers for several sessions, further recovery in the rupee, and roll over of position in F&O market, also contributed to the gains. The markets paid no heed to the industry body Assocham’s statement that implementing GST from July 1 will be a challenge for the industry and the government should consider relaxing penal provisions for a couple of quarters to help it comply with the new tax regime. Meanwhile, Pharmaceutical stocks have continued their downfall, posting losses for the second consecutive session. In scrip specific development, Lupin hogged the limelight with the stock hitting its lowest level since August 2014 after the company’s quarterly net profit nearly halved to Rs 380 crore in March quarter (Q4FY17) from a year ago. On the other hand, shares of private sector banks were in focus with Nifty Bank and Nifty Private Sector Bank indices hitting their respective record highs after a strong run-up in ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, YES Bank and IndusInd Bank.
On the global front, Asian markets ended higher on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve signaled a cautious approach to future rate hikes and the reduction of its $4.5 trillion of bond holdings. Investors are looking ahead to an OPEC meeting later in the day, which is widely expected to extend output cuts.  Japanese market edged higher after the yen weakened in Asian trade, while a surge in index-heavyweights such as Softbank supported sentiments. In China, stocks are rallying a day after Moody's Investors Service reduced its rating on the country amid concerns over rising debt and slowing economic growth. Meanwhile, European shares opened higher, but quickly dipped into negative territory.
Back home, the benchmark got off to a rollicking opening, as investors rejoiced after the Federal Reserve hinted at a cautious, gradualist approach to future rate increases. Thereafter, the frontline indices slowly but steadily started gathering steam and surged by around half a percent by late morning trades. Second half of the session saw the key gauges capitalize on the momentum further and spurt to session's highest levels in dying moments. Finally, the NSE's 50-share broadly followed index Nifty got buttressed by over one and half a percent to settle above the crucial 9,500 support level, while Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index-Sensex accumulated over four hundred points and closed above the psychological 30,700 mark. Moreover, the broader markets too participated in the rally and closed with gains of over a percent. On the BSE sectorial space, the Capital Goods index soared by over three percent being the top gainer, followed by the rate sensitive Banking and Industrials counters too gained good traction and went home with over two percent gains. On the flipside, the Healthcare and Consumer Durables sectors languished at the bottom of the table with losses of 1.76% and 0.11% respectively, being the only laggards in the space.


FII’s Activity 25-May-17


The FIIs as per Thursday’s data were net buyers in equity and debt segments both, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 5950.18 crore against gross selling of Rs 5591.42 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 358.76 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1700.79 crore with gross sales of Rs 1687.50 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 13.29 crore in debt.



Now what to expect ??



Nifty Levels








Support at 9448---9361 and Resistance at 9598.
Above 9519 will see further upside rally till 9545---9598 mark else it could test its support level of 9448---9361 again.

Trade in a range with levels only.



Bank Nifty Levels




Support at 22531 and resistance at 23707

Above 23229 will see further upside rally till 23448---23578 mark. More upside rally will see only close above 23707 level else it could test its support level of 22751---22531 again.



Today's Top Pick



ABFRL

Support at 155 and Resistance at 170

Above 170 will see upside rally till 182---195+++ mark.

Looks weak only if close below 155


Results Today

CG Power and Industrial Solutions Limited

Tech Mahindra Limited

Tata Chemicals Limited

Sun TV Network Limited

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited

NBCC (India) Limited

Power Finance Corporation Limited

ITC Limited

Mahanagar Gas Limited

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

DLF Limited

Divi's Laboratories Limited

BEML Limited


Ex-Dividend Date


State Bank of India- Rs 2.60 per share


















More will update soon!!

Thursday, May 25, 2017

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals and Energy Levels 25th May 17






Gold futures ended lower on Wednesday after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s May policy meeting appeared to show that the majority of the central bank’s officials remain resolute about hiking rates at their meeting in June, which is widely expected. Though, some losses were capped as the dollar slipped against a basket of major currencies.

Crude oil futures snapped their winning streak on Wednesday, despite word that OPEC will agree to extend its supply quota plan. Traders also overlooked the bullish report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), showing U.S. crude inventories fell more than expected in the previous week. EIA said that crude oil inventories fell by 4.43 million barrels. Gasoline inventories dropped by only 0.485 million, while distillate stockpiles fell by 0.485 million barrels. Meanwhile, Kuwait, Iraq, Oman and Venezuela supported the Saudi-Russia agreement that production curbs needed to be extended for a period of nine-months until March 2018, to reduce global supply to the five-year average.

Copper futures traded lower on MCX as speculators trimmed positions amid muted demand at domestic spot markets. Further, weak trend in copper and other industrial metals in the global market after Moody’s Investors Service downgraded China’s credit rating and warned that the country’s debt position will worsen as its economic expansion slows too fuelled the downtrend.


Technical Level



Gold 





Support at 28500 and Resistance at 28900

Trading in range and either side breakout with volumes will decide further till then traders can trade in range with strict stop loss.




Silver




Support at 39350 and Resistance at 40300

Looks weak and could touch its support level of 39350. Break and close 39350 will take it to 39000—38700 and then to 38300 mark else could touch its resistance level of 40300 mark again.

Fresh buying above 40300 mark.




Crude 





Break and sustain below 3330... panic remain continue till will take it to 3230---3200 and then to 3180 mark in days to come

Be cautious at upper levels.




Natural Gas






Support at 205.50 and Resistance at 215.50

Break and sustain below 205.50 will take it to 199—196 and then to 190 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 215.50 

Fresh buying can be initiated above 215.50



Copper 




 Support at 367.50 and Resistance at 375

Break and sustain below 367.50 will take it to 363—361 and then to 356 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 375 again.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 375 only.




Economic Data



06:00 P.M Unemployment Claim:  Previous 232K Forecast 238K, Actual –??

Impact – Increase in Unemployment Claims – will have positive impact on bullion and negative impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – versa.


07:30 PM FOMC Member Brainard Speaks



08:00 P.M Natural Gas Storage:  Previous 68B, Forecast 72B, Actual –??

Impact – Increase Natural Gas Storage – will have negative impact on natural gas prices or vice versa.















More will update soon!!

कमोडिटी बाजार : एग्री कमोडिटी : धनिया पर NCDEX ने अफवाहों से बचने की दी सलाह, कहा सिर्फ वायदा नहीं हाजिर में भी घटे हैं दाम






धनिया की कीमतों में पिछले डेढ़ महीने से एकतरफा गिरावट पर कमोडिटी एक्सचेंज NCDEX ने अपनी प्रतिक्रिया दी है। NCDEX का कहना है कि एक्सचेंज धनिया के वायदा सौदों पर नजर बनाए हुए है और कारोबारियों को सावधान रहने की सलाह दी जाती है, धनिया को लेकर इलेक्ट्रोनिक मीडिया, सोशल नेटवर्क, SMS और व्हाट्सएप वगैरह के जरिए जो झूठी अफवाह फैलाई जा रही है उनपर अमल करने की जरूरत नहीं है।


एक्सचेंज का कहना है कि हाल के दिनों में सिर्फ वायदा बाजार ही नहीं बल्कि हाजिर मंडियों में भी धनिया की कीमतों में गिरावट देखने को मिली है, 2 मई से लेकर 24 मई के दौरान एक्सचेंज के प्लेटफॉर्म पर धनिया में 22 फीसदी की भारी गिरावट आई है, इस दौरान एक्सचेंज पर मॉनिटर होने वाले कोटा मंडी के धनिया के भाव में 18 फीसदी और गुजरात के गोंडल में 22 फीसदी की गिरावट दर्ज की गई है। इस दौरान कोटा और गोंडल मंडियों के भाव के लिए अगर सरकारी संस्था एगमार्कनेट के मॉडल प्राइस को देखें तो वह भी 21 फीसदी और 20 फीसदी घटा है। ऐसे में वायदा बाजार में जैसी गिरावट है वैसी ही गिरावट हाजिर मंडियों में भी देखी जा रही है।


एक्सचेंज के मुताबिक धनिया में सट्टेबाजी को कम करने के लिए उनकी तरफ से कई कदम उठाए जा चुके हैं। बिकवाली पर स्पेशल मार्जिन लगाया गया है, कंस्ट्रेशन मार्जिन के लिए ओपन इंटरेस्टर थ्रेशहोल्ड लेवल को घटाया गया है, ईएलएम मार्जिन में बढ़ोतरी की गई है और साथ में ज्यादा स्टॉक होल्डिंग पर अतीरिक्त शुल्क भी लगाया गया है।
NCDEX के मुताबिक एक्सचेंज के प्लेटफॉर्म पर धनिया का मौजूदा भाव हाजिर बाजार में मांग और सप्लाई के मुताबिक है।






Source: MarketTimesTv









More will update soon!!

Agri Commodity Update





Soyabean







Below 2750… Panic remain continue till 2705---2660 and then to 2550 mark.

Hurdle and stop loss above 2810


Trade with levels only.




Soyaref






Support at 628 and Resistance 641

Break and close below 628 will take it to 622—619 and then to 615 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 641 again.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 641


Guarseed







Support at 3450 and Resistance at 3600


Trend looks weak and could touch its support level of 3450. Weekly close below 3450 will take it to 3380—3350 and then to 3280 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 3600 mark.

Further upside rally will see above 3600 mark.



Dhaniya 




Panic continues... Now what to expect??

Support at 4800. Three consecutives close + weekly close below 4800 will take it to 4350—3980 in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 5200 again.

Dead cat bounce will see only close above 5200 mark



Jeera 





Weekly close below 17700 will take it to 17300---16800 and then to 16000 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 18000 again.

Over all trend looks weak... So any sharp rise will be selling opportunity in it.



RM Seed 




We have seen vertical crash in Rmseed. 

Now what to expect???

Support at 3500 and Resistance 3650

Three consecutive close + weekly close below 3500 will take it to 3420---3350 mark else could touch its resistance level of 3650 again.

Further upside rally will see on close above 3650




TMC



Weekly close below 5300 will take it to 5050—4900 mark in days to come.

Hurdle intact at 5500---5650




Cocudakl





We have seen mind blowing panic in Cocudakl. 

Now what to expect???

Support 1830 and resistance at 1920

Weekly close below 1830 will take it to 1780—1740 and then to 1630 mark else could touch its resistance level of 1920 again.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 1920 mark




Mentha oil 




Support at 940---915 and resistance at 968

Weekly close above 968 will take it to 990---1000 and then to 1030 mark else could test its support level of 940---915 again.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 915 mark.




CPO 





Support at 518 and Resistance at 526

Weekly close below 518 will take it to 509---505 mark in days to come else could touch its resistance level of 526 again.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 526




Castor Seed




Support at 4400 and Resistance at 4580---4650

Weekly close below 4400 will take it to 4250---4380 and then will expect free fall in it else could touch its resistance again

Trade with levels only



Guargum 





Support at 7500 and Resistance at 7750

Two consecutive closes + weekly close below 7500 will see sharp downside panic till 7000---6800 and then to 5600 mark in days to come

Hurdle and stop loss above 8000 on closing basis.















More will update soon!!