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Thursday, February 23, 2017

कमोडिटी बाजार : एग्री कमोडिटी : सरसों खल: चीन को एक्सपोर्ट पर प्रयास तेज, बांग्लादेश में आयात शुल्क खत्म कराने की मांग







अंतरराष्ट्रीय स्तर पर सरसों खल के बड़े खरीदारी चीन को सरसों खल का निर्यात दोबारा शुरू करने के लिए प्रयास तेज हो रहे हैं। देश में तेल और तिलहन इंडस्ट्री के संगठन सॉल्वेंट एक्सट्रैक्टर्स एसोसिएशन ऑफ इंडिया यानि SEA की ओर से दी गई जानकारी के मुताबिक वाणिज्य सचिव रीत तेवतिया जल्दी ही सरसों खल की क्वॉलिटी के मुद्दों को चीन के साथ उठाने जा रही हैं।


SEA के प्रेसिडेंट अतुल चतुर्वेदी के मुताबिक चीन ने भारत से सरसों खल आयात के लिए जो शर्त लगा रखी है उसमें ज्यादातर शर्तों को भारत पहले ही पूरा कर रहा है, भारत से आयात होने वाले सरसों खल को चीन 12 कीटों से मुक्त चाहता है, SEA का मानना है कि जिन 12 कीटों की चीन बात कर रहा है उनमें से 11 पहले से ही उसके यहां पाए जाए हैं, ऐसे में भारत को उनके लिए क्वॉलिटी सर्टिफिकेट देने की जरूरत नहीं है, चीन को सरसों खल एक्सपोर्ट करने के लिए 12 में से सिर्फ एक कीट को मुक्त करना होगा।


SEA ने यह भी कहा है SAFTA के तहत दिसंबर 2016 तक भारत से बांग्लादेश को सरसों खल का निर्यात ड्यूटी फ्री था लेकिन उसके बाद नया नोटिफिकेशन जारी नहीं हुआ और बांग्लादेश में अब 10 फीसदी आयात शुल्क देना पड़ रहा है। ऐसे में SAFTA के तहत नया नोटिफिकेशन जारी करने की जरूरत को ताकि बांग्लादेश को सरसों खल का एक्सपोर्ट पूरी तरह से ड्यूटी फ्री रह सके। 





Source: MarketTimesTv











More will update soon!!

कमोडिटी बाजार : सोना चांदी : सोना: फेड के मिनट्स से मिले ब्याज दर बढ़ने के संकेत, भाव पर दबाव संभव










अमेरिकी सेंट्रल बैंक फेडरल रिजर्व की ओर से बुधवार रात को जारी किए गए पिछली पॉलिसी के मिनट्स से ऐसे संकेत मिल रहे हैं कि अगली पॉलिसी में ब्याज दरों में बढ़ोतरी हो सकती है, इस तरह के संकेत मिलने के बाद अमेरिकी करेंसी डॉलर में तेजी देखई जा रही है और सोने की कीमतों पर दबाव आने की संभावना जताई जा रही है, फिलहाल कॉमेक्स पर सोना 1,237 डॉलर प्रति औंस के करीब है, बुधवार को घरेलू वायदा बाजार यानि MCX पर सोना 102 रुपये घटकर 29,199 रुपये प्रति 10 ग्राम के स्तर पर बंद हुआ है।


बुधवार रात को अमेरिकी सेंट्रल बैंक के मिनट्स से यह जाहिर हो रहा है कि जल्दी ही सेंट्रल बैंक ब्याज दरों में इजाफा कर सकता है, मिनट्स में कहा गया है कि पिछली पॉलिसी में अधिकतर पॉलिसी मेकर ब्याज दरें जल्दी बढ़ाने की उम्मीद जता रहे थे। हालांकि सकारात्मक रोजगार और महंगाई आंकड़ों के बाद ही यह फैसला होगा।



फेड के मिनट्स के बाद अमेरिकी करेंसी डॉलर में तेजी देखी जा रही है, डॉलर इंडेक्स 101.35 के करीब कारोबार कर रहा है, डॉलर में तेजी और बढ़ती है तो इससे सोने के भाव पर दबाव सकता है। 





Source: MarketTimesTv














More will update soon!!

Update on Nifty levels, Bank Nifty levels and Equity Pick of the day 23rd February 2017




Nifty 8926/Sensex 28864/ Bank Nifty 20868

19 Advances / 32 Declines/ 0 Unchanged



Indian equities sustain uptrend; RIL rallies 11%


Indian benchmark indices edged higher for the fifth consecutive session on Wednesday on account of short-covering by investors ahead of February month F&O expiry on Thursday. 

Besides, Index heavyweight Reliance Industries, which helped the markets to remain in green till last, made its presence felt by surging around eleven percent in the session, as investors cheered the company's move to end free telecom services on its Jio platform and start charging customers from April 1. Jio is seeking to retain customers through special prime memberships at a one-time fee of Rs 99 and Rs 303 a month for unlimited voice, data and content. Furthermore, the country's third largest private sector lender, Axis bank, gained as much as 3.9 percent, after the report that the government has no plan as of now to exit Axis Bank via SUUTI. 

Sentiments got some support with a private report stating that India's millennial population is a massive disruptive force and driven by this supportive demographics along with government's policy action, Indian economy is likely to reach $ 5 trillion by 2025.  Market participants got some comfort as Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged the United States to keep an open mind on admitting skilled Indian workers, in comments that pushed back against Republican President Donald Trump's 'America First' rhetoric on jobs. Moreover, India is likely to pitch for a global agreement to make it easier to travel for work across borders at international fora like the G-20 and BRICS as increasing protectionism in the West has unsettled the country's services industry, which accounts for about 60% in the country's GDP and 28% of total employment.


On the global front, Asian markets ended mostly higher on Wednesday, getting little push from Wall Street's record high overnight, investors awaited the Fed's latest meeting minutes due later in the day for clues about the U.S. central bank's views on interest rates. However, the dollar dipped, reversing an earlier rise made on hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said he would likely support a quarter point rate increase at the central bank's March 14-15 meeting if the economy improves further. Further, lower yields on Japanese government bonds weighed on financial stocks, which logged modest declines, while Chinese shares ended higher after official data showed China's housing market continued to cool in January, a welcome sign for policymakers worried about a generalized bubble developing in the market. Meanwhile, European markets climbed, with higher oil prices, upbeat German business climate data and a slew of encouraging earnings updates helping underpin investor sentiments. 

Back home, after getting a positive start, the local benchmarks gained further in late morning trades, but the sentiments turned pessimistic in afternoon trades and indices started drifting lower, however the markets regained its momentum in the final hour of trade and finished the day with moderate gains.



FII Activity (22th Feb 2017)

The FIIs as per Wednesday’s data were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment, according to data released by the NSDL.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7039.61 crore against gross selling of Rs 8993.23 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net sellers of Rs 1953.62 crore in equities.
In the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 433.00 crore with gross sales of Rs 391.68 crore. Thus, FIIs stood as net buyers of Rs 41.32 crore in debt.
  


Key Results


Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd

Rain Industries Ltd


Now what to expect next??




Nifty Future Levels






Support at 8870 and Resistance at 8980—9050

Looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 8980—9050, further upside rally will see on close above 9050 mark else could touch its support level of 8830 again.

Below 8870... Will see more downside panic till 8830---8780 and then to 8720 mark.



Bank Nifty Future Levels






Support at 20700 and resistance at 21000

Weekly close above 21000 will take to 21300---21550+++ mark else it could test it's support again.

Trade in a range with levels only.



Today's Top Pick


ICICI Bank





Above 288 it can touch 293—298 and then to 305+ mark.

Support and stop loss below 284.














More will update soon!!

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Updates on Bullion, Base Metals, and Energy Levels 22 Feb 2017





Gold futures ended lower on Tuesday as renewed expectations of an increase in US interest rates next month pushed the dollar higher, although political and economic uncertainties in Europe and the United States supported investor sentiment. Market players are also looking ahead to Wednesday's minutes of the Fed’s latest policy meeting.

Crude oil futures moved higher on Tuesday on OPEC's optimism for greater compliance with its deal with other producers including Russia to curb output in an effort to clear a glut that has weighed on the market. OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo told an industry conference in London that 'We are going to go for much higher levels of compliance because of the very high level of stocks that we have brought over with us from 2016.' Though, Barkindo said it was too early to say if the supply cut, which lasts for six months from Jan. 1, would need to be extended or deepened at the next OPEC meeting in May.

Copper futures ended higher on Tuesday, driven by the prospect of major supply disruptions in Chile and Indonesia. In Chile, a government-mediated meeting between BHP Billiton and striking workers at its Escondida copper mine has failed without any future talks planned. Meanwhile, US mining giant Freeport-McMoRan has warned it could take the Indonesian government to arbitration and seek damages over a contractual dispute that has halted operations at the world's second-biggest copper mine. However, the US dollar was on course for its steepest gain against the euro in more than a month following hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, capped some gains in copper prices.



Technical Levels 


Gold 






Support at 29050---28900 and Resistance at 29500

Trade in a range with levels only and wait for confirmation.

Silver





Support at 42400 and Resistance at 43150

Trend looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 43150. Break and sustain above 43150 will take it to 43600---43900+ and then to 44500+ mark.

Fresh selling can be initiated below 42400

Crude Oil





Support at 3600---3570 and Resistance at 3700

The trend looks positive and could touch its resistance level of 3700. Break and sustain above 3700 will take it to 3780---3850+ mark in days to come else could touch its support level of 3600---3570 again.

Trade with levels only.


Copper 






Support at 396 and resistance at 406.

Looks weak and could touch its support level of 396.  Close below 396 will take to  391---386 mark else could touch its resistance level of 406.

Fresh buying can be initiated above 406

Major economic data

08:30 P.M Existing Home Sales:  Previous 5.55M Forecast 5.49M Actual –??

Impact – Increase in Existing Home Sales – will have the negative impact on bullion and positive impact on base metals and dollar index or vice – Versa.











More will update soon!!

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NIIT - Technical Overview





NIIT is showing confirmation of Bearish Bat Pattern 








Technical chart of NIIT Limited

  
AB leg retrace 50% of XA leg
BC leg retrace between more than 88.6% of AB leg
CD leg seems to  retrace up to 88.6% of XA leg
CD leg can also be an extension of between 1.618% – 2.618% of AB leg


Resistance at 78... Break and sustain above 78 will take it to 88.00---92.00 and then to 105+ mark.

Support and stop loss at 71.50


Technical Indicators - RSI and MACD showing positive momentum also NIIT trading above 21 DEMA which is at 75.00. 

As per Elliot analysis... Stock seems to be in the 3rd wave which has upside minimum projection level of 161% (105 levels.)


Recommendation


 Buy NIIT Limited above 78.00 on closing basis with stop loss below 71.50 for the upside target of 88---92 and then to 105.00












More will update soon!!